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@4real

Expert in

First trade Mar 9, 20260xcc74…4035View on PolymarketUpdated 29d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 25th pct
Edge: 64th pct
Win Rate: 59th pct
Consistency: 4th pct
Downside Risk: 24th pct
Track Record: 69th pct

Volume traded

$104,460.07

Predictions

157

Rank

—

Win rate

52.6%

Fees charged: $1,867.67
Fee refunds: $1,345.52
Fees paid: $522.15
Maker rebates: $42.60
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,570.63

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-08 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

154 total

Market				To win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? No positionClosed	80.6¢—	138	$111.60—	—	-$68.39Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 28? No positionClosed	75.2¢—	156	$117—	—	-$59.85Timeline
SPY Opens Up or Down on July 24? No positionClosed	86.3¢—	140	$120.99—	—	+$15.33Timeline
SPY Opens Up or Down on July 23? No positionClosed	84.3¢—	122	$103—	—	+$15.12Timeline
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 16? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	294	$199.99—	—	-$135.43Timeline
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 16? No positionClosed	45.0¢—	1,252	$563—	—	-$139.74Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 16? No positionClosed	56.6¢—	453	$256—	—	+$98.42Timeline
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15? No positionClosed	59.0¢—	1,656	$976.41—	—	+$1.17Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 15? No positionClosed	82.9¢—	362	$300—	—	+$42.42Timeline
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14? No positionClosed	85.1¢—	278	$236.96—	—	+$28.18Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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Net trading P&L

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@4real

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@4real

Why this trader grades D

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