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@4cff

Expert in

First trade Oct 21, 20240xeee7…930bView on PolymarketUpdated 61d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 70th pct
Edge: 36th pct
Win Rate: 87th pct
Consistency: 89th pct
Track Record: 44th pct

Volume traded

$123,776.86

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

81.8%

Fees charged: $0.02
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.02
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $39.63

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

46 total

Market				To win
Will Leo De Vries win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No	99.8¢—	5	$5.20$5.20	$5.21	+$0.00Timeline
Will Max Clark win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No	99.9¢—	5	$4.80$4.78	$4.80	-$0.01Timeline
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	33	$32.94—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1	$1.13—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	1	$1.13—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	10	$9.54—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	1	$1.18—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	1	$1.16—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 8? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1	$1.19—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 8? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1	$1.18—	—	+$0.00Timeline