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@0xentropy

Expert in

First trade Nov 21, 20240xe3a8…8026View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 33rd pct
Edge: 66th pct
Win Rate: 86th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 95th pct
Downside Risk: 62nd pct
Track Record: 73rd pct

Volume traded

$244,377.68

Predictions

201

Rank

—

Win rate

72.6%

Fees charged: $37.16
Fee refunds: $35.05
Fees paid: $2.11
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$746.65

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-03-09 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

201 total

Market				To win
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	1	$1.02—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) 6-7b one week after launch? No positionClosed	78.4¢—	44	$34.42—	—	+$2.94Timeline
Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8? No positionClosed	98.4¢—	226	$222.42—	—	+$2.89Timeline
Will $BTC reach 70k before October? No positionClosed	91.5¢—	1,397	$1,277.86—	—	+$108.53Timeline
Will Trump say "Israel" during Michigan rally? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	1	$1.05—	—	+$0.05Timeline
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election? No positionClosed	97.5¢—	502	$489.26—	—	+$6.44Timeline
Iran military response by Monday? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	69	$11.76—	—	+$9.76Timeline
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? No positionClosed	92.6¢—	2,071	$1,919.01—	—	-$199.46Timeline
Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	848	$737.48—	—	-$51.62Timeline
Will Tim Walz say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	1,234	$259.06—	—	+$8.01Timeline