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@0xJoshua

Expert in

First trade Nov 5, 20250x2c76…d4c6View on PolymarketUpdated 24d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 75th pct
Edge: 87th pct
Win Rate: 46th pct
Max Drawdown: 86th pct
Consistency: 88th pct
Track Record: 31st pct

Volume traded

$4,600.79

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

56.0%

Fees charged: $2.40
Fee refunds: $1.92
Fees paid: $0.48
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $200.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

35 total

Market				To win
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes	39.4¢14.5¢	64	$25$9.21	$63.51	-$15.79Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	8.3¢21.0¢	100	$8.30$20.95	$100	+$12.65Timeline
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	3.9¢5.3¢	100	$3.90$5.25	$100	+$1.35Timeline
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	2.0¢1.2¢	100	$2$1.15	$100	-$0.85Timeline
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	2.7¢3.1¢	100	$2.70$3.05	$100	+$0.35Timeline
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	2.7¢2.3¢	100	$2.70$2.30	$100	-$0.40Timeline
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	4.0¢5.2¢	100	$4$5.15	$100	+$1.15Timeline
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	11.0¢7.5¢	45	$5$3.41	$45.45	-$1.59Timeline
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	3.6¢3.4¢	139	$5$4.65	$138.89	-$0.35Timeline
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	0.8¢0.2¢	625	$5$0.94	$625	-$4.06Timeline