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@0xf0f5df3a0db3ac9cb838107317c30ae6701e72bc

Expert in

First trade Jun 10, 20260xf0f5…72bcView on PolymarketUpdated 51d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 34th pct
Win Rate: 32nd pct
Consistency: 2nd pct
Downside Risk: 5th pct
Track Record: 79th pct

Volume traded

$29,580.23

Predictions

340

Rank

—

Win rate

33.3%

Fees charged: $29.80
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $29.80
Maker rebates: $14.83
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$308.01

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-07 09:55:52 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

339 total

Market				To win
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No	49.8¢—	7	$3.49$3.34	$7	-$0.14Timeline
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No	45.0¢—	4	$1.80$1.32	$4	-$0.48Timeline
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? Yes	18.8¢17.5¢	48	$9.05$8.40	$48	-$0.65Timeline
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No	38.0¢—	7	$2.66$2.38	$7	-$0.28Timeline
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes	38.0¢40.5¢	2	$0.76$0.81	$2	+$0.05Timeline
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? No	66.5¢—	10	$6.65$8.15	$10	+$1.50Timeline
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes	35.0¢48.0¢	8	$2.80$3.84	$8	+$1.04Timeline
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? Yes	6.0¢4.6¢	7	$0.42$0.32	$7	-$0.10Timeline
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes	73.0¢70.5¢	5	$3.65$3.53	$5	-$0.13Timeline
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? No	85.6¢—	3	$2.57$2.54	$3	-$0.03Timeline