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@0xd3a3e206aec992b433e637dfc59e3ff159a6361d

Expert in

First trade Mar 21, 20250xd3a3…361dView on PolymarketUpdated 20d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 57th pct
Win Rate: 26th pct
Consistency: 32nd pct
Downside Risk: 50th pct
Track Record: 62nd pct

Volume traded

$30,067.91

Predictions

107

Rank

—

Win rate

31.8%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$13.11

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 17:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

107 total

Market				To win
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	3.1¢—	4,903	$152—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No positionClosed	97.8¢—	166	$162—	—	+$0.35Timeline
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	90.7¢—	304	$276—	—	-$0.28Timeline
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	52.0¢—	671	$349—	—	-$2.95Timeline
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	121	$97—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? No positionClosed	4.4¢—	5,545	$244—	—	+$0.32Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No positionClosed	41.0¢—	444	$182—	—	-$1.60Timeline
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No positionClosed	95.7¢—	178	$170—	—	+$0.34Timeline
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	791	$372—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	3.7¢—	1,622	$60—	—	+$0.00Timeline