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@0xcc5e32516d2ea822da99cca9171ba869a256488a

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First trade Mar 8, 20260xcc5e…488aView on PolymarketUpdated 54d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 41st pct
Edge: 22nd pct
Win Rate: 52nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 24th pct
Downside Risk: 45th pct
Track Record: 60th pct

Volume traded

$18,179.41

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

50.5%

Fees charged: $8.94
Fee refunds: $8.49
Fees paid: $0.45
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$280.16

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

98 total

Market				To win
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes	27.0¢26.5¢	—	—$0.06	$0.23	-$0.00Timeline
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	5	$2.73—	—	-$0.00Timeline
Netanyahu out by March 31? No positionClosed	2.6¢—	11,852	$308.15—	—	-$0.81Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No positionClosed	39.6¢—	523	$207.34—	—	-$13.31Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? No positionClosed	49.8¢—	121	$60.19—	—	+$1.37Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	42.3¢—	6	$2.72—	—	+$0.16Timeline
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	5,396	$431.68—	—	-$7.85Timeline
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? No positionClosed	97.4¢—	1	$1.17—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No positionClosed	94.3¢—	81	$76.60—	—	-$0.35Timeline
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No positionClosed	36.0¢—	9	$3.22—	—	+$0.00Timeline