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@0xc97771bf0421daf99c91de8707d07d5172b6b790

Expert in

First trade Nov 1, 20240xc977…b790View on PolymarketUpdated 21d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 46th pct
Edge: 8th pct
Win Rate: 16th pct
Consistency: 15th pct
Track Record: 41st pct

Volume traded

$3,548.45

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

28.2%

Fees charged: $0.06
Fee refunds: $0.04
Fees paid: $0.01
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$117.36

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-27 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

39 total

Market				To win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? No positionClosed	94.4¢—	111	$104.90—	—	-$104.90Timeline
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No positionClosed	18.0¢—	154	$27.78—	—	-$4.89Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	50	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	20	$14.29—	—	+$2.28Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? No positionClosed	6.6¢—	1,959	$130.05—	—	+$10.57Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No positionClosed	66.0¢—	230	$151.52—	—	+$18.18Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	4.9¢—	418	$20.45—	—	-$0.84Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	41	$14.29—	—	+$2.57Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET No positionClosed	59.2¢—	2	$1.46—	—	+$1.21Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? No positionClosed	6.0¢—	278	$16.67—	—	-$1.00Timeline