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@0xb8c60f62688293226385421e0a45e518173d6c2c

Expert in

First trade Aug 29, 20240xb8c6…6c2cView on PolymarketUpdated 19d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 16th pct
Win Rate: 48th pct
Consistency: 10th pct
Downside Risk: 29th pct
Track Record: 53rd pct

Volume traded

$3,400.86

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

49.3%

Fees charged: $2.55
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $2.55
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$303.89

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

70 total

Market				To win
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes	50.0¢16.5¢	10	$5$1.65	$10	-$3.35Timeline
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	39.6¢—	61	$24.23—	—	+$0.66Timeline
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	13.0¢—	302	$39.37—	—	+$0.82Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	14.1¢—	260	$36.50—	—	+$1.46Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No positionClosed	92.0¢—	6	$5.43—	—	+$0.42Timeline
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	6.8¢—	3,531	$240.83—	—	-$16.45Timeline
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	4.3¢—	3,395	$144.61—	—	-$6.17Timeline
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	1.2¢—	6,775	$83.33—	—	-$1.03Timeline
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	2,676	$157.33—	—	-$9.25Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	12.1¢—	350	$42.37—	—	+$3.47Timeline