0 followers

@0xa4d616ab9129b052d6725f1007499cf5e6f5eef9

Expert in

First trade Apr 23, 20260xa4d6…eef9View on PolymarketUpdated 17d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 37th pct
Edge: 33rd pct
Win Rate: 23rd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 38th pct
Downside Risk: 45th pct
Track Record: 65th pct

Volume traded

$84,684.59

Predictions

128

Rank

—

Win rate

29.9%

Fees charged: $62.52
Fee refunds: $6.18
Fees paid: $56.34
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$464.55

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

127 total

Market				To win
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No positionClosed	7.7¢—	3,327	$256.52—	—	-$12.20Timeline
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No positionClosed	53.0¢—	218	$115.69—	—	-$1.59Timeline
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No positionClosed	29.8¢—	102	$30.38—	—	-$7.58Timeline
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? No positionClosed	9.0¢—	415	$37.33—	—	-$2.38Timeline
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? No positionClosed	3.1¢—	1,190	$36.77—	—	-$1.14Timeline
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	31.7¢—	126	$39.87—	—	+$5.11Timeline
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No positionClosed	16.6¢—	120	$19.94—	—	+$0.11Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? No positionClosed	5.9¢—	2,504	$147.46—	—	-$8.70Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	14.1¢—	1,860	$261.35—	—	-$3.71Timeline
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? No positionClosed	77.7¢—	11	$8.91—	—	-$6.74Timeline