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@0x6ae8741160cbfaafb7c7574cce914fc4146c5746

Expert in

First trade Apr 15, 20260x6ae8…5746View on PolymarketUpdated 21d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 17th pct
Edge: 68th pct
Win Rate: 74th pct
Consistency: 0th pct
Downside Risk: 3rd pct
Track Record: 97th pct

Volume traded

$209,183.86

Predictions

4,328

Rank

—

Win rate

55.4%

Fees charged: $646.61
Fee refunds: $100.28
Fees paid: $546.33
Maker rebates: $329.21
Taker rebates: $2.40
Net realized P&L: -$3,546.88

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 18:21:49 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

4,327 total

Market				To win
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No	85.0¢—	1	$1$1.01	$1.18	+$0.01Timeline
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? No	94.0¢—	1	$1$0.99	$1.06	-$0.01Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? No	95.0¢—	1	$1$0.94	$1.05	-$0.06Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26? YesClosed	62.0¢0.0¢	2	$1$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 26? NoClosed	97.0¢$1.00	1	$1$1.03	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 27? NoClosed	97.0¢$1.00	1	$1$1.03	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 26? NoClosed	96.0¢$1.00	1	$1$1.04	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or below on August 27? NoClosed	98.8¢$1.00	6	$5.95$6.02	—	+$0.00Timeline
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No positionClosed	83.6¢—	1	$1.20—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	91.3¢—	1	$1.10—	—	+$0.00Timeline