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@0x6143fab06a3a1a29da9fe8ee37c47f350938cf6b

Expert in

First trade Dec 14, 20250x6143…cf6bView on PolymarketUpdated 20d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 36th pct
Edge: 45th pct
Win Rate: 25th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 49th pct
Track Record: 28th pct

Volume traded

$55,292.56

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

40.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$509.17

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

24 total

Market				To win
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	2.2¢2.2¢	3,132	$69.99$67.34	$3,132.15	-$2.65Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes	11.2¢4.0¢	2,685	$300$106.07	$2,685.23	-$193.93Timeline
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	69.0¢—	3,804	$2,625.37—	—	+$119.52Timeline
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No positionClosed	40.2¢—	5,134	$2,062.49—	—	-$622.26Timeline
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	9.8¢—	10,368	$1,018.13—	—	-$100.00Timeline
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? No positionClosed	3.5¢—	40,354	$1,420.45—	—	-$50.00Timeline
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	18,963	$6,635.23—	—	+$29.51Timeline
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No positionClosed	33.0¢—	2,756	$909.09—	—	-$54.54Timeline
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? No positionClosed	7.1¢—	9,916	$704.01—	—	-$50.00Timeline
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	48.2¢—	862	$415.28—	—	+$11.77Timeline