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@0x5d45a93c249a5bf2f0f182e20a5fda07680dc4ba

Expert in

First trade Apr 16, 20250x5d45…c4baView on PolymarketUpdated 22d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 64th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 27th pct
Consistency: 20th pct
Downside Risk: 69th pct
Track Record: 56th pct

Volume traded

$46,321.76

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

34.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $2.40

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 13:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

80 total

Market				To win
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	95.0¢—	—	—$0.55	$0.64	-$0.06Timeline
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	1.5¢—	59,600	$894—	—	+$0.30Timeline
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	34,714	$486—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	11.5¢—	20,339	$2,339—	—	-$0.67Timeline
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	4.9¢—	6,408	$314—	—	+$0.31Timeline
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	96.1¢—	173	$166—	—	-$0.17Timeline
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	2.4¢—	12,583	$302—	—	+$0.30Timeline
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	547	$538—	—	+$0.71Timeline
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	5.3¢—	3,283	$174—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	88.1¢—	205	$181—	—	-$0.18Timeline