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@0x4c55c4481fb1365619ea92472aceff1542ca0be1

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First trade Feb 25, 20260x4c55…0be1View on PolymarketUpdated 48d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 75th pct
Win Rate: 37th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 83rd pct
Track Record: 13th pct

Volume traded

$4,365.63

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

60.0%

Fees charged: $0.52
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.52
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $164.03

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-14 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

10 total

Market				To win
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch No positionClosed	26.0¢—	427	$111—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch No positionClosed	6.8¢—	2,167	$147—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? No positionClosed	49.0¢—	1,225	$600.23—	—	+$141.05Timeline
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? No positionClosed	24.5¢—	987	$241.92—	—	+$4.27Timeline
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? No positionClosed	32.3¢—	887	$286.15—	—	+$83.97Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? No positionClosed	0.4¢—	37,848	$151.39—	—	+$10.15Timeline
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? No positionClosed	23.6¢—	4,455	$1,050—	—	-$3.54Timeline
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? No positionClosed	4.1¢—	780	$32—	—	+$0.47Timeline
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No positionClosed	2.0¢—	2,547	$50—	—	+$0.57Timeline
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No positionClosed	90.8¢—	6	$5—	—	-$0.08Timeline