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@0x49d2d30f96629d6c94bd8564d5dc433163ac25aa

Expert in

First trade Dec 13, 20250x49d2…25aaView on PolymarketUpdated 21d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 64th pct
Win Rate: 8th pct
Consistency: 12th pct
Downside Risk: 40th pct
Track Record: 47th pct

Volume traded

$48,242.95

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

17.3%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$13.11

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

53 total

Market				To win
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	16.7¢9.0¢	—	—$0.03	$0.32	-$0.02Timeline
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	8.1¢—	4,358	$353—	—	-$0.42Timeline
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.9¢—	100	$99—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No positionClosed	8.9¢—	1,888	$168—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	1.8¢—	18,278	$329—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	3.5¢—	11,086	$388—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	101	$99—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	1.2¢—	41,333	$496—	—	-$0.54Timeline
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.9¢—	182	$180—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	91	$90—	—	+$0.00Timeline