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@0x452c4c45925678f567211490f9bf0aad18e5340f

Expert in

First trade Jan 11, 20250x452c…340fView on PolymarketUpdated 22d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 81st pct
Edge: 77th pct
Win Rate: 81st pct
Max Drawdown: 74th pct
Consistency: 76th pct
Downside Risk: 74th pct
Track Record: 70th pct

Volume traded

$70,121.39

Predictions

170

Rank

—

Win rate

67.7%

Fees charged: $47.23
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $47.23
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $802.27

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 10:28:48 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

169 total

Market				To win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No	74.0¢—	68	$50$51.01	$67.57	+$1.01Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? No positionClosed	87.5¢—	1,948	$1,704.69—	—	+$212.56Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? NoClosed	96.3¢$1.00	199	$192$199.33	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	67	$60—	—	-$60.00Timeline
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No positionClosed	89.0¢—	227	$202.25—	—	+$22.25Timeline
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? No positionClosed	0.6¢—	169	$1—	—	-$1.05Timeline
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	67.0¢—	421	$282.21—	—	+$92.28Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 Corners No positionClosed	68.0¢—	86	$58.14—	—	-$59.07Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 No positionClosed	69.0¢—	29	$20—	—	-$20.31Timeline
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 No positionClosed	89.5¢—	22	$20—	—	-$20.10Timeline