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@0x4192d12c284fdce3f3cdbb813a028c2827a1278e

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First trade Mar 7, 20260x4192…278eView on PolymarketUpdated 20d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 79th pct
Edge: 55th pct
Win Rate: 87th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 36th pct
Downside Risk: 89th pct
Track Record: 49th pct

Volume traded

$13,370.15

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

78.9%

Fees charged: $7.19
Fee refunds: $3.19
Fees paid: $4
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $463.01

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-11 15:09:40 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

68 total

Market				To win
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	0.1¢0.1¢	1,000	$1$0.50	$1,000	-$0.50Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No	90.5¢—	12	$10.99$11.66	$12.14	+$0.67Timeline
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No	97.1¢—	1	$1$0.96	$1.03	-$0.04Timeline
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No	95.7¢—	5	$5$5.12	$5.22	+$0.12Timeline
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No	99.6¢—	30	$30$29.83	$30.12	-$0.17Timeline
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No	91.6¢—	11	$10$10.41	$10.92	+$0.41Timeline
SBF released from custody in 2026? No	93.0¢—	11	$10$10.31	$10.75	+$0.31Timeline
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	99.2¢—	10	$10$10.03	$10.08	+$0.03Timeline
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No	96.2¢—	21	$20$20.38	$20.79	+$0.38Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No	82.1¢—	11	$9.20$10.78	$11.21	+$1.58Timeline