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@starbr

Expert in

Category 72%Category 72%Category 72%

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#11239on leaderboard B90.9trader grade+1% edgeDirectional

First trade Dec 10, 20240x28df…16deView on PolymarketUpdated 2h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 91st pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 54th pct
Max Drawdown: 85th pct
Consistency: 91st pct
Track Record: 26th pct

Volume traded

$352,326.41

Predictions

Rank

#11,239

Win rate

63.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $6,051.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-15 04:22:40 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

22 total

Market				To win
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? No	81.0¢—	66	$53.46$63.36	$66	+$9.90Timeline
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No	0.0¢—	14,862	—$12,186.84	$14,862	+$0.00Timeline
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	81.0¢—	14,827	$12,009.87—	—	+$889.62Timeline
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	12,842	$10,273.60—	—	+$256.84Timeline
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? No positionClosed	74.0¢—	12,676	$9,380.24—	—	-$126.76Timeline
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No positionClosed	81.0¢—	12,789	$10,359.09—	—	+$127.89Timeline
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? No positionClosed	20.0¢—	36,998	$7,399.60—	—	+$2,959.84Timeline
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	13,994	$10,775.38—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No positionClosed	23.8¢—	19,965	$4,751.67—	—	+$439.23Timeline
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? No positionClosed	86.0¢—	3,313	$2,849.18—	—	+$66.26Timeline