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@0x018d3f3476570de1205b6d8a41de43590398f921

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First trade Mar 30, 20260x018d…f921View on PolymarketUpdated 21d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 44th pct
Edge: 93rd pct
Win Rate: 91st pct
Consistency: 3rd pct
Downside Risk: 42nd pct
Track Record: 73rd pct

Volume traded

$44,976.27

Predictions

204

Rank

—

Win rate

79.4%

Fees charged: $528.70
Fee refunds: $458.83
Fees paid: $69.87
Maker rebates: $48.62
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$174.78

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-04-28 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

204 total

Market				To win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? No positionClosed	90.6¢—	88	$80.13—	—	+$4.31Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? No positionClosed	91.7¢—	128	$117.78—	—	+$6.52Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 23? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	39	$36.84—	—	-$9.36Timeline
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026? No positionClosed	91.1¢—	248	$225.39—	—	+$0.49Timeline
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 23? No positionClosed	68.2¢—	57	$39.07—	—	+$13.81Timeline
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 23? No positionClosed	78.0¢—	36	$27.91—	—	+$6.14Timeline
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	283	$257.26—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	40	$37.22—	—	+$2.23Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23? No positionClosed	65.5¢—	65	$42.59—	—	+$23.17Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026? No positionClosed	93.8¢—	104	$97.87—	—	+$4.91Timeline