Skip to content
Loading sports games
Sign in
Developer docs

Pick of the Day -- Friday, August 21, 2026

The Pick of the Day for Friday, August 21, 2026: the side the sharp money backed, the proof behind it, and how it settled.

Picks for Friday, August 21, 2026

5 picks

Pick 1 of 5

polymarket logo
Cincinnati Open
Final
Sara Bejlek
3677
2
Madison Keys
6465
1
Loss

Madison Keys to win

Price

64.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
ferrariChampions2026Swin rate 49%6,387sharesVeryLucky888Swin rate 64%2,402.9sharesswisstonySwin rate 67%1,582.8shares0x2c33…0563Swin rate 54%1,315.6shares
NM-PAwin rate 50%12,783.5sharesGC-PAwin rate 51%10,023.4sharessentrioAwin rate 54%9,464.1shares38791873984189Awin rate 69%3,889shares
mortewfenloinAwin rate 58%3,611sharesKnightDasCapitalAwin rate 58%2,000sharesdv-pmAwin rate 58%1,370sharesEulhunterAwin rate 54%1,188.6shares
0xb1cb…2345Awin rate 50%1,030sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 59%1,007.5sharesmm12310Awin rate 61%757.6sharesPan9XAwin rate 83%194shares
UlamTriXAwin rate 60%90shares0xc75b…3ea7Awin rate 49%75.8sharesjmp123Awin rate 93%24.1sharesyotweeeAwin rate 61%20shares
WaySheGoesAwin rate 30%15.2sharesjwockyAwin rate Not enough data5sharesameisgoat11Awin rate 65%5sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 70%3shares
MeistersApprenticeshipBwin rate 60%646.5sharesAlphaBetaGamma2357Bwin rate 36%500sharesOdileDerayBwin rate 44%227.3sharesjustanothercryptoguyBwin rate 77%10shares
juanitooo12358Bwin rate 46%5shares

$38,383 across 29 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

GC-P (grade A) came out ahead in 79% of their Tennis markets, across 155 resolved, and holds $6,465 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Madison Keys, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Madison Keys
Sharp %
71.6%
Market %
64.5%
Consensus edge
+7.1%
Traders
29
Sharp $
$38,383
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 1 of 5

Pick 2 of 5

polymarket logo
MLB
Toronto Blue JaysRecord 73-74
1
vs
New York YankeesRecord 82-62
3
Win

New York Yankees to win

Price

64.5c

Performance
Units +0.55u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
VeryLucky888Swin rate 57%15,583.2sharesHomeRunHazardSwin rate 62%6,082.7sharesdv-pmAwin rate 49%15,301.1sharesHerdoniaAwin rate 52%2,295.7shares
38791873984189Awin rate 55%1,500sharesBillBenter2026Awin rate 83%597sharesJarod21Awin rate 53%298.5sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 58%216shares
Pan9XAwin rate 80%198sharesMarlaSinger1999Awin rate 47%100shares5f5aAwin rate 58%50sharesIamthelawAwin rate 86%24.2shares
stringerrAwin rate 93%10.8sharesLavinceyAwin rate 41%10sharesameisgoat11Awin rate 38%5sharesShipOfPetrAwin rate 72%0shares
NicksypooBwin rate 56%4,636.3sharesAnonymousUsernameBwin rate 53%4,110sharessbsignerBwin rate 50%705.6shares0F62Bwin rate 51%151.5shares
Hunter33Bwin rate 50%120.6sharesErikzamboerBwin rate 54%76.1shares

$21,055 across 22 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

HomeRunHazard (grade S) came out ahead in 65% of their Baseball markets, across 20 resolved, and holds $3,218 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds New York Yankees, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
New York Yankees
Sharp %
88.1%
Market %
64.5%
Consensus edge
+23.6%
Traders
22
Sharp $
$21,055
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 2 of 5

Pick 3 of 5

polymarket logo
MLB
Atlanta BravesRecord 85-60
1
vs
Milwaukee BrewersRecord 90-56
2
Win

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Price

55.5c

Performance
Units +0.80u
CLV +1.8%
Who’s on it
0xa697…59d5Swin rate 50%1,739.2sharesN34Awin rate 56%30,701.8sharesHerdoniaAwin rate 52%1,766.3sharessentrioAwin rate 54%793.8shares
38791873984189Awin rate 55%750sharesJAMJAMJAM4Awin rate 51%575sharesUndisputaAwin rate 47%234.4shares0x5b62…d87fAwin rate 52%216.4shares
bravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 58%144sharesPan9XAwin rate 80%83shareszbettsAwin rate 50%71sharesAwendt913Awin rate 60%25shares
LavinceyAwin rate 41%10sharesameisgoat11Awin rate 38%5sharesEVhunter69Bwin rate 44%4,912.3sharesAnonymousUsernameBwin rate 53%2,017.8shares
sbsignerBwin rate 50%98.7sharesitsjustcheddarBwin rate 49%14.8shares

$22,212 across 18 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Proven sharp money holds Milwaukee Brewers, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Milwaukee Brewers
Sharp %
97.6%
Market %
55.5%
Consensus edge
+42.1%
Traders
18
Sharp $
$22,212
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 3 of 5

Pick 4 of 5

polymarket logo
VCT · Americas Stage 2 · Play-In
MIBR
2
vs
Team Envy
1
Win

MIBR to win

Price

75.5c

Performance
Units +0.32u
CLV -1.3%
Who’s on it
sentrioAwin rate 56%10,811.1sharesoneheadedtigerAwin rate 41%5,246sharesStickman22Awin rate 53%2,500sharesForAndWithYouAwin rate 60%2,360.8shares
Jarod21Awin rate 57%1,157.7shares0x5b62…d87fAwin rate 51%1,000sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 63%797.5shares0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4zAwin rate 55%745.8shares
antecAwin rate 39%320sharesFraneSelakAwin rate 48%300sharesyoungwhaleAwin rate 52%149.4sharesMarlaSinger1999Awin rate 61%100shares
ameisgoat11Awin rate 59%25shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 53%20.2sharesyotweeeAwin rate 49%20sharesRadioFreeZergAwin rate 75%3.9shares
KingOfEsportsBwin rate 52%25,000sharesWiretransferxyzBwin rate 55%24,999.9sharesvibing123Bwin rate 54%6,500sharesFund01Bwin rate 53%400shares

$40,269 across 20 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

vibing123 (grade B) came out ahead in 70% of their Esports markets, across 10 resolved, and holds $4,907 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds MIBR, led by a grade-A trader.

Sharp side
MIBR
Sharp %
86.9%
Market %
75.5%
Consensus edge
+11.4%
Traders
20
Sharp $
$40,269
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 4 of 5

Pick 5 of 5

polymarket logo
Cancun
Final
Vit Kopriva
54
0
Lloyd Harris
76
2
Loss

Vit Kopriva to win

Price

44.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV unavailable
Who’s on it
ferrariChampions2026Swin rate 49%25,866.3sharesone8tyfiveSwin rate 63%397.8sharesUpTheBluesSwin rate 14%7sharessentrioAwin rate 54%8,016.9shares
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6Awin rate 53%6,576.3shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 66%2,246.6shares0xc75b…3ea7Awin rate 49%116.3sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 59%100.9shares
clownlyAwin rate 43%75.6sharesLilybaeumAwin rate 41%42shares5yrwgya9dyv6Awin rate 73%22.7sharesprofitlawAwin rate 72%20.3shares
LeLynxMalynxAwin rate 52%11.6sharesameisgoat11Awin rate 65%5sharesRadioFreeZergAwin rate 79%2.3sharesbetfun...Bwin rate 43%24shares

$15,424 across 16 wallets positioned at selection

Why

Proven sharp money holds Vit Kopriva, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Vit Kopriva
Sharp %
100.0%
Market %
44.5%
Consensus edge
+55.5%
Traders
16
Sharp $
$15,424
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 5 of 5
Back to today’s picks and the full track record