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Pick of the Day -- Thursday, August 20, 2026

The Pick of the Day for Thursday, August 20, 2026: the side the sharp money backed, the proof behind it, and how it settled.

Picks for Thursday, August 20, 2026

5 picks

Pick 1 of 5

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MLB
Atlanta BravesRecord 85-60
2
vs
Chicago White SoxRecord 75-69
0
Win

Atlanta Braves to win

Price

50.5c

Performance
Units +0.98u
CLV -2.0%
Who’s on it
HomeRunHazardSwin rate 62%16,226.9sharesBoomLaLaSwin rate 62%1,651sharesbalthazarSwin rate 56%766.3shares0xa697…59d5Swin rate 50%571.7shares
RN1Swin rate 52%470.8sharespauleta23Swin rate 56%10sharesMalfunction.Swin rate 98%0sharesHerdoniaAwin rate 52%12,189.5shares
0x5811…0976Awin rate 46%3,235.4shares0x0A77exmmAwin rate 48%3,043.1sharesSnakeBallAwin rate 51%1,235.5shares0x5b62…d87fAwin rate 52%1,000shares
satman88Awin rate 54%800sharessentrioAwin rate 54%550.7shares38791873984189Awin rate 55%431.8shares0xedf7…67fdAwin rate 47%300shares
SharkbetX-comAwin rate 78%270.2sharesHugin-og-MuninAwin rate 47%217.1shares0xfb0c…8c72Awin rate 57%159.2sharesRex416Awin rate 81%153.8shares
BillBenter2026Awin rate 83%153sharesEH-1Awin rate 39%147.6sharespp101Awin rate 87%120sharesMarlaSinger1999Awin rate 47%120shares
338383833Awin rate 50%104sharesPan9XAwin rate 80%91sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 58%77sharesMuneerAwin rate 55%30shares
ronaldoooAwin rate 63%25sharessporteoAwin rate 60%22.9shares0xa3c2…df3dAwin rate 50%18shareswyckoffAwin rate Not enough data11.1shares
JAMJAMJAM4Awin rate 51%10shares001nrtAwin rate 60%3.6shares0xMS8hRTF45823GhpjKuhwefuy38bfAwin rate 51%3.4sharesLavinceyAwin rate 41%0.9shares
DingwinAwin rate 49%0sharesFraneSelakAwin rate 47%0sharesderredAwin rate 38%0sharesAnonymousUsernameBwin rate 53%16,879shares
0F62Bwin rate 51%2,000sharesheyi8Bwin rate 53%650sharesEcgc1010Bwin rate 50%518.8shares0x2f4e…1fb8Bwin rate 46%499shares
0x9ec2…bd08Bwin rate 41%490sharesTrotz.85Bwin rate 53%480.7sharesmaxgreenBwin rate 55%451.7shares0xc7d0…1f8aBwin rate 56%317shares
sbsignerBwin rate 50%290.6sharespandamanbroBwin rate 56%75.5sharesitsjustcheddarBwin rate 49%10sharesMeistersApprenticeshipBwin rate 74%5shares
ElectricSamuraiBwin rate Not enough data3.7sharesgordonwrongBwin rate 51%0.8sharesTheOpportunistBwin rate 47%0.2shares0x99bc…4f35Bwin rate 21%0.1shares

$28,326 across 56 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

AnonymousUsername (grade B) came out ahead in 63% of their Baseball markets, across 376 resolved, and holds $8,355 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Atlanta Braves, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Atlanta Braves
Sharp %
72.2%
Market %
50.5%
Consensus edge
+21.7%
Traders
56
Sharp $
$28,326
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 1 of 5

Pick 2 of 5

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MLB
Atlanta BravesRecord 85-60
2
vs
Chicago White SoxRecord 75-69
0
Loss

O/U 8.5 (Over)

Price

52.5c

Performance
Units -1.00u
CLV +1.9%
Who’s on it
HomeRunHazardSwin rate 62%6,107.9shareswapolSwin rate 53%420sharesRN1Swin rate 52%419.2shares0xa697…59d5Swin rate 50%96.1shares
balthazarSwin rate 56%22.2sharesNotradecopyAwin rate 54%1,020.4shares38791873984189Awin rate 55%602.2sharesCavaSoTastyAwin rate 37%123.9shares
MarlaSinger1999Awin rate 47%100sharesFraneSelakAwin rate 47%99sharesslimjoeAwin rate 50%62.3sharesMuneerAwin rate 55%30shares
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2Awin rate 65%19.9sharesantecAwin rate 39%10sharesLavinceyAwin rate 41%1.4sharesTalvez10Bwin rate 49%99,999.9shares
SDTradingBwin rate 47%38,628.2sharespandamanbroBwin rate 56%50shares0xc7d0…1f8aBwin rate 56%47.1sharesTrotz.85Bwin rate 53%36.8shares
0x1621…f040Bwin rate 98%5sharesMeistersApprenticeshipBwin rate 74%5shares

$75,248 across 22 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

HomeRunHazard (grade S) came out ahead in 70% of their Baseball markets, across 20 resolved, and holds $3,146 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds O/U 8.5 (Over), led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
O/U 8.5 (Over)
Sharp %
92.0%
Market %
52.5%
Consensus edge
+39.5%
Traders
22
Sharp $
$75,248
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 2 of 5

Pick 3 of 5

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Esports World Cup · Playoffs
B8
vs
Spirit
Win

Spirit to win

Price

81.5c

Performance
Units +0.23u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
trgparkingSwin rate 56%1,000sharessentrioAwin rate 56%11,943.2sharesfRibrenlcAwin rate 64%5,227.5sharesoneheadedtigerAwin rate 41%2,165.7shares
0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4zAwin rate 55%950.3shares0x076d…8d4cAwin rate 53%395.5sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 63%380sharesantecAwin rate 39%320shares
title1Awin rate 50%24.7sharesWiretransferxyzBwin rate 55%35,259.9shares0x8cbf…0eb4Bwin rate 59%5,000sharesre4derBwin rate 70%609.8shares
0xa9c4…7433Bwin rate 47%294sharesRocks3Bwin rate 97%0.7shares

$46,352 across 14 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

oneheadedtiger (grade A) came out ahead in 62% of their Esports markets, across 273 resolved, and holds $1,223 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Spirit, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Spirit
Sharp %
89.2%
Market %
81.5%
Consensus edge
+7.7%
Traders
14
Sharp $
$46,352
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 3 of 5

Pick 4 of 5

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Cincinnati Open
Final
Iga Swiatek
4
0
Elena Rybakina
1
0
Win

Iga Swiatek to win

Price

58.5c

Performance
Units +0.71u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
one8tyfiveSwin rate 63%3sharessentrioAwin rate 54%11,930.7sharesferrariChampions2026Awin rate 49%10,035.3sharesdanielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6Awin rate 53%10,000shares
NM-PAwin rate 50%4,500sharesGC-PAwin rate 51%3,000sharesbravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 59%770sharesEulhunterAwin rate 54%115shares
0xc75b…3ea7Awin rate 49%66.8sharesAwendt913Awin rate 61%32sharesUlamTriXAwin rate 60%30sharesdoadorAwin rate 58%22.7shares
jmp123Awin rate 93%18sharesPan9XAwin rate 83%10shares5yrwgya9dyv6Awin rate 73%5sharesdentleightadmanAwin rate 70%3.3shares
EVhunter69Bwin rate 48%1,724.1sharesMeistersApprenticeshipBwin rate 60%100shares

$25,477 across 18 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

GC-P (grade A) came out ahead in 79% of their Tennis markets, across 155 resolved, and holds $1,755 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Iga Swiatek, led by a grade-S trader.

Sharp side
Iga Swiatek
Sharp %
72.4%
Market %
58.5%
Consensus edge
+13.9%
Traders
18
Sharp $
$25,477
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 4 of 5

Pick 5 of 5

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MLB
Seattle MarinersRecord 68-78
4
vs
Milwaukee BrewersRecord 90-56
7
Win

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Price

56.5c

Performance
Units +0.77u
CLV +0.0%
Who’s on it
ferrariChampions2026Awin rate 60%35,320.6sharessentrioAwin rate 54%9,351.3shares-JB-Awin rate 96%2,600sharesBillBenter2026Awin rate 83%115.3shares
bravewarriorrrrrrAwin rate 58%108shares0xfb0c…8c72Awin rate 57%94.1shares0xc75b…3ea7Awin rate 46%89.3sharesPan9XAwin rate 80%10.2shares
LavinceyAwin rate 41%10shares0F62Bwin rate 51%5,350.9sharesitsjustcheddarBwin rate 49%11.3shares

$29,979 across 11 wallets positioned at selection

Sport specialist on this side

ferrariChampions2026 (grade A) came out ahead in 66% of their Baseball markets, across 2,311 resolved, and holds $19,956 here as of selection.

Why

Proven sharp money holds Milwaukee Brewers, led by a grade-A trader.

Sharp side
Milwaukee Brewers
Sharp %
84.6%
Market %
56.5%
Consensus edge
+28.1%
Traders
11
Sharp $
$29,979
Game ViewView on Polymarket
Permalink for Pick 5 of 5
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