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Metrics

Win rate

Bottom line

Win rate is the share of resolved trades that made money. 0xinsider shows a win rate only after a wallet has traded at least 5 markets, so a 2-trade streak cannot show as a 100% record. On its own, win rate says little about skill: a 90% win rate still loses money if the losses dwarf the wins, and a 40% win rate is profitable when the winners are large. Read it next to average win size and average loss size.

Formula

Win rate = winning resolved trades / total resolved trades

Open positions are excluded. 0xinsider displays a win rate only after a wallet has traded at least 5 markets.

How to read a win rate

Win rate is the share of resolved trades that finished in profit. It is the most quoted trader statistic and the least informative on its own, because it counts how often, never how much.

A trader who is right 90% of the time and loses their entire stake on the tenth trade is unprofitable. A trader right 35% of the time on long shots can be strongly profitable. Both facts are invisible in the percentage.

Read win rate with price

In a binary market the entry price already implies a hit rate. Buying Yes at $0.80 should win about 80% of the time if the market is fairly priced, so an 80% win rate on favorites is average performance, not skill.

What matters is the gap between win rate and the implied probabilities the trader paid. Beating the price is edge; matching it is noise.

Where 0xinsider uses win rate

Win rate appears on trader profiles and the leaderboard when available. Read the resolved-market count beside it: a short winning streak leaves more uncertainty than a comparable long record. Entry prices and loss sizes determine whether those wins were profitable.

Worked example

A trader wins 36 of 60 resolved markets: a 60% win rate. Average win: +$320. Average loss: −$180. Net: (36 × $320) − (24 × $180) = $7,200 profit, a result that needs both the win rate and the win and loss sizes.

Win rate = wins / total = 36 / 60
= 60% (read it with average win and loss size)

Win rate on 0xinsider

Graded leaderboard

Win rate beside P&L, volume, and markets traded for every graded wallet.

Live feed

Win rate on live data

The leaderboard ranks S, A, and B wallets, graded mostly on realized profit. The live feed lists large Polymarket trades as they fill on Pro, and 24 hours later without it.

Picks and market activity

Read the published picks or follow large trades. The free feed runs 24 hours behind; Pro has no delay.