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Notepolitics setup
A fragile two-week ceasefire took effect on April 7 after U.S.-Iran talks in Pakistan, halting offensive operations while both sides kept forces positioned near the Strait of Hormuz.
Trump's April 12 warning that U.S. forces remain "locked and loaded" has kept traders skeptical of an imminent peace announcement, with April 15 still priced at 4c and April 21 at 16c Yes.
APR 154c YesAPR 2116c Yes
Nobase case
No qualifying public declaration has materialized from either government, so traders still treat a near-term peace headline as low probability.
A fast read on what's moving the price: matchup context and recent form for sports. The setup before you trade.
