Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 53% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 13,009
- No consensus
- 12,820
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,930 provider closure; 3,079 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets: sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Nuggets vs. Thunder
Wrong- Called
- Nuggets
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedNuggets-$111,933.35
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNuggets+$42,779.32
- SNS13Last tradedNuggets-$12,955.13
Cavaliers vs. 76ers
Right- Called
- 76ers
- Won
- 76ers
- Profitable wallets
- 27
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast traded76ers+$287,741.01
- SethanazLast traded76ers+$102,875.76
- SHomeRunHazardLast traded76ers+$40,140.98
Patriots vs. Bears
Right- Called
- Bears
- Won
- Bears
- Profitable wallets
- 23
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedBears+$75,824.71
- SSoarin22Last tradedPatriots-$23,999.88
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBears+$21,244.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 20
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharkbets.proLast tradedYes-$20.91
- AChimsLast tradedNo+$24.36
- AWarriorHLast tradedYes-$11.34
- Called
- Nuggets
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 19
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNuggets+$83,241.05
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedNuggets-$50,088.58
- SSoarin22Last tradedNuggets-$20,307.27
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$16,176.66
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$8,991.74
- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedUnder+$2,670.49
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-22?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Gen.G
- Won
- Gen.G
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedInvictus Gaming-$6,900
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedGen.G+$6,560.71
- SNooseracLast tradedGen.G+$704.38
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
Wrong- Called
- Patriots
- Won
- Bears
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedPatriots-$121,485.23
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedPatriots-$48,112.59
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedPatriots-$39,614.28
- Called
- Iva Jovic
- Won
- Diana Shnaider
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDiana Shnaider+$19,826.83
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDiana Shnaider+$9,214.32
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedIva Jovic-$4,662.87
- Called
- Anyone's Legend
- Won
- Karmine Corp
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedKarmine Corp-$64.21
- AluziasoftLast tradedAnyone's Legend-$1,436.78
- ADapper-PhrasingLast tradedAnyone's Legend-$531.03
- Called
- Memphis
- Won
- Memphis
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedMemphis+$93,870.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMemphis+$6,480.32
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedMemphis+$4,574.92
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$80,788.68
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver+$21,009.68
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$4,816.38
- Called
- Sara Bejlek
- Won
- Marie Bouzkova
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSara Bejlek-$8,973.82
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedSara Bejlek-$2,948.07
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMarie Bouzkova+$2,621.02
- Called
- Oilers
- Won
- Oilers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOilers+$9,032.54
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOilers+$7,008.72
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedHurricanes-$6,647.25
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
Wrong- Called
- Cavaliers
- Won
- 76ers
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedCavaliers-$51,540.29
- SHomeRunHazardLast traded76ers+$1,978.89
- Sic4creamLast tradedCavaliers-$1,162.21
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedUnder+$71,968.30
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$6,989.32
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$3,760.82
- Called
- Nuggets
- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNuggets-$5,078.08
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedNuggets-$3,734.49
- SNM-PLast tradedThunder+$240.17
- Called
- Leylah Fernandez
- Won
- Leylah Fernandez
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedLeylah Fernandez+$27,354.09
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedEkaterina Alexandrova-$13,002.91
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedEkaterina Alexandrova-$4,768.40
- Called
- Top Esports
- Won
- Hanwha Life Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedTop Esports-$6,216.71
- SdrunkdegenerateLast tradedTop Esports-$3,299.93
- Awangyou1288Last tradedHanwha Life Esports+$3,297.29
- Called
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Won
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- Soudine2Last tradedEstudiantes de La Plata+$1,638.17
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedEstudiantes de La Plata+$192.80
- A0xad69…92fdLast tradedEstudiantes de La Plata+$104.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 12%
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Wrong- Called
- Patriots
- Won
- Bears
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedPatriots-$199,837.89
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPatriots-$35,281.93
- Shi774cLast tradedBears+$6,363.36
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
No consensus- Won
- Thunder
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedThunder+$16,897.41
- SNooseracLast tradedThunder+$12,500
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedNuggets-$1,384.57
- Called
- Movistar KOI
- Won
- Movistar KOI
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedMovistar KOI+$33,057.54
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMovistar KOI+$13,920.39
- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedMovistar KOI+$1,412.91
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
Right- Called
- 76ers
- Won
- 76ers
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedCavaliers-$24,489.30
- SSoarin22Last traded76ers+$5,100
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCavaliers-$4,709.46
- Called
- Lilli Tagger
- Won
- Ann Li
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthestingsnakeLast tradedLilli Tagger-$1,890.63
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedLilli Tagger-$1,378.47
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedLilli Tagger-$1,103.91
- Called
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Won
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedNikoloz Basilashvili+$11,309.56
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNikoloz Basilashvili+$1,291.82
- SGC-PLast tradedNikoloz Basilashvili+$1,145.74
- Called
- James Madison
- Won
- Appalachian State
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJames Madison-$3,318.12
- Sic4creamLast tradedJames Madison-$2,736.16
- Shi774cLast tradedJames Madison-$1,736.99
- Called
- Clement Chidekh
- Won
- Francisco Cerundolo
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedFrancisco Cerundolo+$7,836.06
- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedClement Chidekh-$2,691
- SMomo63Last tradedFrancisco Cerundolo+$1,548.89
- Called
- Filippo Romano
- Won
- Filippo Romano
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMatthew William Donald-$2,801.57
- SGC-PLast tradedFilippo Romano+$487.56
- SNM-PLast tradedFilippo Romano+$361.73
Jets vs. Stars
Right- Called
- Stars
- Won
- Stars
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedStars+$27,751.28
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedStars+$1,552.74
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedStars+$607.66
- Called
- Team Liquid
- Won
- GamerLegion
- Profitable wallets
- 9
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedGamerLegion+$2,643.54
- SCrazyboy77Last tradedTeam Liquid-$549.99
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTeam Liquid-$394.54
Sharks vs. Senators
Right- Called
- Sharks
- Won
- Sharks
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedSharks+$93,251.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSharks+$8,180.92
- Shi774cLast tradedSharks+$4,307.23
- Called
- Red Wings
- Won
- Red Wings
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedRed Wings+$79,442.44
- SNooseracLast tradedCanucks-$2,280.74
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedRed Wings+$367.01
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCrazyboy77Last tradedNo-$13,763.72
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$1,250.78
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$1,110.70
- Called
- Blues
- Won
- Blues
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBlues+$9,455.76
- SNooseracLast tradedBlues+$6,888.34
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGolden Knights+$825.95
Utah vs. Kraken
Wrong- Called
- Utah
- Won
- Kraken
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shi774cLast tradedKraken+$10,263.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedKraken+$4,793.21
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedKraken-$2,020.04
- Called
- OG
- Won
- OG
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOG-$208.19
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOG-$40.05
- STommyLeePeecaLast traded1win-$11.56
Wild vs. Flames
Wrong- Called
- Wild
- Won
- Flames
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedWild-$2,723.42
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedFlames+$2,496.52
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedWild-$1,962.51
- Called
- Talia Gibson
- Won
- Ashlyn Krueger
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTalia Gibson-$31,042.26
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAshlyn Krueger+$6,185.51
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedTalia Gibson-$4,794.76
Ducks vs. Devils
Wrong- Called
- Ducks
- Won
- Devils
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedDevils+$57,642.01
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDucks-$2,419
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedDucks-$395.08
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedUnder+$23,528.74
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder+$15,353.68
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$11,700
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$59,361.39
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedOver-$21,939.61
- STalvez10Last tradedUnder+$2,040.91
- Called
- Appalachian State
- Won
- Appalachian State
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAppalachian State+$22,020.04
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAppalachian State+$5,903.69
- Shi774cLast tradedAppalachian State+$1,385.57
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver-$25,704.94
- SCannaeLast tradedOver-$1,549.72
- Shi774cLast tradedOver-$644.38
- Called
- J.J. Wolf
- Won
- Alexander Maarten Jong
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedAlexander Maarten Jong+$14,523.39
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJ.J. Wolf+$1,614.61
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedJ.J. Wolf-$458
- Called
- Liberty
- Won
- Liberty
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedLiberty+$20,717.74
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedKennesaw State-$7,483.27
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLiberty+$4,641.29
- Called
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Won
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedEstudiantes de La Plata+$13,075.51
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedEstudiantes de La Plata+$1,688.01
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedCR Flamengo-$818
- Called
- 1win
- Won
- OG
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Svibing123Last traded1win-$8,528.62
- SdrunkdegenerateLast traded1win-$4,026.60
- SferrariChampions2026Last traded1win-$681.79
12,813 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 567 more positions across 141 markets on this day.