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Resolution reportSunday, August 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,235 right617 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
29,119
No consensus
26,267

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 14,351 provider closure; 14,768 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Bryce Nakashima Nakashima
    Won
    Bryce Nakashima Nakashima
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Bryce Nakashima Nakashima+$146.99
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Bryce Nakashima Nakashima+$26.97
    • A
      yorius27Last traded
      Bryce Nakashima Nakashima+$20.12
  • Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$137.90
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Under-$106.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$95.35
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$174.64
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$29.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$7.64
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$121.52
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$31.80
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      No+$29.90
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • NCAAF

    Called
    Memphis
    Won
    Memphis
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      UNLV Runnin'-$159.34
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Memphis+$190.46
    • A
      degenmLast traded
      Memphis+$106.61
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$178.91
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$7.34
    • B
      JHSimonsLast traded
      Down+$6.75
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$114.49
    • B
      MaxdiLast traded
      Up-$103.43
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$22.17
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$195.29
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$10
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$19.39
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$75.84
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$2.43
    • B
      rdimathLast traded
      Down+$100.94
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$77.11
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$54.83
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$37.28
  • Esports

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    John Sperle
    Won
    John Sperle
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Stefan Popovic
    Won
    Stefan Popovic
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      yorius27Last traded
      Kaloyan Shikov-$259.05
    • A
      temparalLast traded
      Stefan Popovic+$10.47
    • A
      ojgLast traded
      Stefan Popovic-$5.92
  • Baseball

    Called
    Hanshin Tigers
    Won
    Hanshin Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Genoa CFC
    Won
    Genoa CFC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Houston Dynamo
    Won
    Houston Dynamo
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Stefanini
    Won
    Stefanini
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$119.13
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Over-$100.21
    • A
      SecondhandvinylLast traded
      Under+$10.72
  • Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      noosh3Last traded
      Yes-$52.76
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No+$120.09
    • B
      WiseColibriLast traded
      No+$46.52
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$160
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$3.71
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Under+$0.15
  • Soccer

    Won
    Columbus Crew
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Columbus Crew+$145.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Columbus Crew+$120.82
    • S
      hi774cLast traded
      New England Revolution-$57.76
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 30?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

26,142 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 21,557 more positions across 2,242 markets on this day.