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Resolution reportSunday, August 30, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
78%
2,235 right617 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
29,119
No consensus
26,267

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 14,351 provider closure; 14,768 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • CD Nacional vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$885.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$598.38
    • S
      maxiplayerLast traded
      Over+$143.98

  • Spread: Minnesota United FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Orlando City SC
    Won
    Orlando City SC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$363.62
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$250.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$174.97

  • Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Portland Timbers
    Won
    Portland Timbers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MrDoucheLast traded
      No+$140
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$38.99
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$18.57

  • San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Cincinnati
    Won
    Nashville SC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      FC Cincinnati-$151.45
    • S
      hi774cLast traded
      FC Cincinnati-$67.68
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Nashville SC+$34.24

  • RCD Mallorca vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nantong Zhiyun win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$126.44
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$44.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$9.44

  • Feyenoord Rotterdam leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$268.49
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$200
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$40.02

  • Columbus Crew vs. New England Revolution: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$76.67
    • B
      Mac4uLast traded
      Up-$150
    • B
      rdimathLast traded
      Down+$53.68

  • Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ground Zero
    Won
    Ground Zero
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Ground Zero+$3.20
    • A
      pnhkybLast traded
      THUNDER dOWNUNDER-$137.72
    • B
      AlphaPengu1nLast traded
      THUNDER dOWNUNDER-$55.41

  • Columbus Crew vs. New England Revolution: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$501.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$499.95
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$98.76

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      San Francisco Giants+$3,522.30
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Arizona Diamondbacks-$3,295
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      San Francisco Giants+$84.35

  • Map Handicap: SportsBetExpert (-1.5) vs For Fun v4 (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    For Fun v4
    Won
    For Fun v4
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 30?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ningbo Professional FC vs. Meizhou Hakka: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      jack.jrLast traded
      Over+$160.96
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$2.61
    • A
      yeageristLast traded
      Over+$0.75

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Washington Nationals-$1,306.50
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$518.90
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$339.57

  • Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Eternal Fire
    Won
    Eternal Fire
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Eternal Fire+$155.14
    • S
      AbsingLast traded
      ENCE-$133.74
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Eternal Fire+$132

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: FC Seoul O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AO Itabaiana SE vs. Botafogo FC PB: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$626.48
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$19.67
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$592.32

  • Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    New England Revolution
    Won
    New England Revolution
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      New England Revolution+$71.42
    • S
      LonnieHawkinsLast traded
      New England Revolution+$66.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      New England Revolution+$39.34

  • Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    paiN Gaming
    Won
    paiN Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars-$81.78
    • S
      GOLDCRYPT12Last traded
      paiN Gaming+$71.02
    • S
      am100Last traded
      paiN Gaming+$30.97

  • Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

    Right

    Golf

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Austin FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$206.39
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$117.82
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$44.97

  • Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 0 SV Werder Bremen?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Paranaense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$128.34
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$67.32
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$0.06

  • Australia vs. Jordan

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Australia
    Won
    Australia
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Australia+$61.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Australia+$36.57
    • A
      RadioFreeZergLast traded
      Australia+$5.65

  • Bears vs. Titans: O/U 39.5

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$397.10
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over-$204.36
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Under+$0.70

  • FC Sion vs. FC Lugano: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$227.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$10.73
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Over+$4.73

  • Exact Score: AS Monaco FC 2 - 3 Olympique de Marseille?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$66.45
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$23.33
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$2.59

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 29?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-30?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 0 - 0 Athletic Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      New York Mets-$336.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Houston Astros+$173.91
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      New York Mets-$110.26

  • Will Rafael Leao join Galatasaray?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

26,142 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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