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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$66.60
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$49.46
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$41.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Sporting CP
    Won
    Sporting CP
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Francesco Passaro

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Francesco Passaro
    Won
    Francesco Passaro
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Francesco Passaro+$9,188.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Francesco Passaro+$5,102.73
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Shintaro Mochizuki+$1,220.47

  • Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Phoenix Mercury
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Under-$4,329.46
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$870.95
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over+$722.92

  • Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$11,481.22
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$5,332.67
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes-$4,767.34

  • Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$130.10
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$107.67
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$89.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$108.26
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$54.42
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$29.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yulia Starodubtseva
    Won
    Elise Mertens
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Yulia Starodubtseva-$7,069.30
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yulia Starodubtseva-$2,797.39
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yulia Starodubtseva-$2,319.22

  • Philadelphia: Fiona Crawley vs Julia Grabher

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Fiona Crawley
    Won
    Julia Grabher
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Contingent Esports
    Won
    Contingent Esports
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      johnbasterLast traded
      University of Mississippi-$2,013.50
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      University of Mississippi-$165.06
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      University of Mississippi-$133.88

  • Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,646.33
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$257.07
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$241.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$13,969.29
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$10,742.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$5,938.59

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Arantxa Rus

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Susan Bandecchi
    Won
    Arantxa Rus
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$2,682.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,587.93
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$1,240

  • Dota 2: FTS vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FTS
    Won
    FTS
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Up+$299.70
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$293.55
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$209.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No+$3,220.94
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$2,417.12
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,018.54

  • Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    RE.Arise
    Won
    RE.Arise
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,410.59
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$2,361.08
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,048.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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