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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Natus Vincere
    Won
    Natus Vincere
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Colton Smith
    Won
    Hugo Gaston
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Colton Smith-$11,208.33
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Hugo Gaston-$10,107.08
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Colton Smith-$4,060.60

  • Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      FURIA+$4,867.63
    • S
      dsasdaasLast traded
      FURIA+$4,780.50
    • S
      Hakei.Last traded
      FURIA+$466.65

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Down+$155.14
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down-$148.16
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down+$142.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$325.20
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$211.47
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$192.73

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$222.29
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$213.44
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up-$80.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$12,982.09
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$12,533.83
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$5,517.76

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Harriet Dart

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Heather Watson
    Won
    Harriet Dart
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Harriet Dart+$45,428.17
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Harriet Dart+$2,621.21
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Harriet Dart-$1,707.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$207.32
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$150.92
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$125.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$118.96
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$84.65
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Up-$71.29

  • Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$6,024.91
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$1,209.54
    • S
      Momo63Last traded
      No+$1,060.60

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Kansas City Royals-$3,918.40
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$3,599.99
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$1,693.60

  • Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$3,802.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,344.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,653.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$460.34
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$297.64
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$218.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$355.72
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$353.63
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$239.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$259.45
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$227.42
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$196.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 29,903 more positions across 2,489 markets on this day.

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