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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Nikola Bartunkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Won
    Nikola Bartunkova
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nikola Bartunkova-$11,690.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Darja Vidmanova-$3,573.81
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Nikola Bartunkova+$2,771.57

  • Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Facundo Mena
    Won
    Facundo Mena
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Facundo Mena+$16,686.66
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez-$4,504.03
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Benito Sanchez Martinez-$2,812.61

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    57
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    DYNASTY
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    56
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Nishesh Basavareddy

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Won
    Nishesh Basavareddy
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nishesh Basavareddy+$13,180.38
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arthur Gea+$6,780.39
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Arthur Gea+$4,862.01

  • FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$13,241.70
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$11,280.65
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$7,436.87

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao Hibino

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lucie Havlickova
    Won
    Lucie Havlickova
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Kei Nishikori vs Rei Sakamoto

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Kei Nishikori
    Won
    Rei Sakamoto
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$722.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$624.03
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$456.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$495.09
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$448.26
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$372.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$390.57
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$230.65
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$124.16

  • Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$688.99
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down-$194.57
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$180.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp
    Won
    Karmine Corp
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SineNooneEILast traded
      Karmine Corp+$2,502.56
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Karmine Corp+$1,448.84
    • S
      sportmaster777Last traded
      FUT Esports-$899.96

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Won
    Lloyd Harris
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Lloyd Harris+$2,222.13
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Lloyd Harris-$1,960.80
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Pablo Llamas Ruiz-$1,682.92

  • Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$733.60
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$586.92
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$451.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$320.73
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$279.05
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$274.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jurij Rodionov
    Won
    Jurij Rodionov
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Aurora Gaming
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Aurora Gaming+$3,305.42
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Aurora Gaming+$669.11
    • S
      ColdWLast traded
      DENDELE CS-$481.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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