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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Sebastian Dominko vs Dimitar Kuzmanov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sebastian Dominko
    Won
    Sebastian Dominko
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dimitar Kuzmanov-$993.34
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Sebastian Dominko+$53.66
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Sebastian Dominko-$52.71

  • Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Shandong Taishan FC
    Won
    Shandong Taishan FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Shandong Taishan FC+$506.09
    • S
      roberto73Last traded
      Shanghai Shenhua FC+$116.93
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Shanghai Shenhua FC-$52.80

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 3 - 1 Elche CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Barrow AFC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$214.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$118.13
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$99.73

  • Will Ansan Greeners FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Nikita Ianin vs Yassine Smiej

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yassine Smiej
    Won
    Yassine Smiej
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      edgewarehouseLast traded
      No+$9.06
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$1.56
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$454.55

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bytom (Poland), clay: Barbora Palicova vs Xinyu Gao

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Barbora Palicova
    Won
    Barbora Palicova
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Top End T20 Series: ACT Comets vs Hobart Hurricanes Academy

    Wrong

    Cricket

    Called
    Hobart Hurricanes Academy
    Won
    ACT Comets
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ansan Greeners FC vs. Daegu FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Mathieu Scaglia vs Pierre Delage

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pierre Delage
    Won
    Pierre Delage
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pierre Delage+$594.63
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Pierre Delage+$18.07
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Pierre Delage+$61.44

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$447.87
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$152.94
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Over+$5.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$781.75
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$49.63
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      SPARTA-$41.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 23 (Tunisia), hard: Clarissa Blomqvist vs Haruna Arakawa

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Clarissa Blomqvist
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Clarissa Blomqvist+$731.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Clarissa Blomqvist+$234.68
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Haruna Arakawa-$200.70

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Beatriz Haddad Maia win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$217.76
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$180.09
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$40.38

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gonnachangelaterLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy-$116.45
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$64.77
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy-$61.46

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo (Spain), clay: Sergi Perez Contri vs Pedro Rodenas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sergi Perez Contri
    Won
    Sergi Perez Contri
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Clermont Foot 63 vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$95.81
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$30.11
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$16.01

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD Tenerife vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • TOP Oss vs. Jong FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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