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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Ralph Norman win Greenville County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gen.G Esports
    Won
    Gen.G Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Nongshim RedForce-$67.03
    • S
      GOLDCRYPT12Last traded
      Gen.G Esports+$46.50
    • S
      madoka123Last traded
      Gen.G Esports+$0.39

  • Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$17.93
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$7.83
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$7.60

  • Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    summer bear
    Won
    summer bear
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Borac Banja Luka
    Won
    FK Borac Banja Luka
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      KF Víkingur-$104.58
    • A
      johannsi19Last traded
      FK Borac Banja Luka+$97.17
    • A
      trampecLast traded
      FK Borac Banja Luka+$29.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 2 Shamrock Rovers FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • France vs. Slovenia

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    France
    Won
    France
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      France+$16.05
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      France+$9.33
    • S
      -JB-Last traded
      France+$0.17

  • Exact Score: CA River Plate 2 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 13 (Serbia), clay: Alessandro Bellifemine vs Anton Arzhankin

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anton Arzhankin
    Won
    Anton Arzhankin
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Anton Arzhankin+$16.75
    • A
      0xf8e4…3b32Last traded
      Anton Arzhankin+$5.43
    • B
      JerOriLast traded
      Anton Arzhankin+$1.84

  • Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?

    Right

    Recurring

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$67.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$43.42
    • A
      merilLast traded
      Yes-$103.50

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Under+$23.16
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$0.05
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Under+$0.17

  • Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Sean Brady in his next UFC bout?

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Overtake vs NuTorious - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    NuTorious
    Won
    Overtake
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$0.84
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$7.61
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$14.59

  • FC København vs. FC Inter Turku: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1 - 3 FC Twente?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$22.32
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2.03
    • A
      MEK9Last traded
      No+$1.97

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or below on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 26?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 1 Santos FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 28 (Tunisia), hard: Nav Dayal vs Toufik Sahtali

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Toufik Sahtali
    Won
    Toufik Sahtali
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • France vs. Slovenia: O/U 171.5

    Wrong

    Basketball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Nordsjælland leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Saudi Arabia vs. Japan

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Japan
    Won
    Japan
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$5.15
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$24.31
    • B
      AlexD87Last traded
      No+$1.94

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC: Deportivo Toluca FC O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$84.44
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$19.68
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over+$79.50

  • Spread: SK Iberia 1999 (-1.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Jagiellonia Białystok
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Jagiellonia Białystok+$68.76
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      SK Iberia 1999-$61.44
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      SK Iberia 1999-$52.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: RSC Anderlecht O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$178.47
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$81.91
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$72.36

  • Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 1 - 0 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$80.58
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$35.28
    • B
      vortlLast traded
      Yes-$135.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: América de Cali 0 - 1 CDP Junior FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 26?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Barueri (Brazil), hard: Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca vs Carolina Alves

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Carolina Alves
    Won
    Carolina Alves
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca-$68.29
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Carolina Alves+$16.85
    • A
      VTL777Last traded
      Carolina Alves+$60

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on August 27?

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 27?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$2.09
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$8.38
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$14.25

  • Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 3 Athletic Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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