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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
76%
2,286 right722 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
12,115

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$233.26
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$173.05
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$145.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: VARREL vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Global Esports
    Won
    Global Esports
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dark Passage
    Won
    Dark Passage
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      DIA Ozarox Esports-$5,178.78
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      DIA Ozarox Esports-$1,201.74
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Dark Passage+$568.91

  • FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$588.15
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$365.50
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down+$312.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Marvin Moeller
    Won
    Cezar Cretu
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Cezar Cretu+$6,944.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cezar Cretu+$2,857.05
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Marvin Moeller-$2,190.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$451.19
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$441.15
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$339.19

  • Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Athletics
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Minnesota Twins-$214,694.84
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Minnesota Twins-$21,096.24
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Minnesota Twins-$18,229.21

  • Counter-Strike: Acend vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Acend
    Won
    Acend
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$5,583.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,970.31
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,550.50

  • LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Won
    Karmine Corp Blue
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Karmine Corp Blue+$646.99
    • S
      GameGambleStakesLast traded
      Skillcamp Esport-$500.24
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      Karmine Corp Blue+$417.53

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$124.54
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$70.39
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down+$58.81

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Cina vs Hugo Dellien

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Cina
    Won
    Federico Cina
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Hugo Dellien-$4,470.75
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Federico Cina-$2,387.25
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Hugo Dellien-$2,305.09

  • Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Esports
    Won
    Inner Circle Esports
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Inner Circle Esports+$3,899.37
    • S
      white-rabbitLast traded
      Inner Circle Esports+$1,671.57
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Inner Circle Esports+$1,279.24

  • Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Flawed-TranceLast traded
      Yes+$3,808.41
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Yes+$3,667.79
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$3,436.84

  • Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Turma do Pagode
    Won
    Turma do Pagode
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Aarhus GF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$2,097.32
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Under-$567.89
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$384.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$553.72
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$504.26
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$287.32

  • Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Parz1vaILast traded
      No+$957.80
    • S
      CarLast traded
      No-$113.40
    • S
      GollumGekkoLast traded
      No+$45.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$202.48
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$149.62
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$121.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$134.69
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$118.10
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$90.54

  • Winston-Salem Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Won
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$14,076.68
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$9,319.71
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$8,387.76

  • Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fabian Marozsan
    Won
    Fabian Marozsan
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea Guerrieri

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Won
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Andrea Guerrieri+$8,791.15
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Andrea Guerrieri+$4,571.71
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Aziz Dougaz-$4,205.48

  • Winston-Salem Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs James Duckworth

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    James Duckworth
    Won
    James Duckworth
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Kch-TempLast traded
      Lorenzo Sonego-$8,147.08
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      James Duckworth+$6,811.45
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      James Duckworth+$5,726.84

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,002 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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