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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Thun vs. KKS Lech Poznań: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Montes vs Loffhagen

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Loffhagen
    Won
    Loffhagen
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Loffhagen+$11.24
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Montes-$258
    • A
      hihheLast traded
      Loffhagen+$6.06

  • FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$214.02
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Down-$90.54
    • B
      facai168888Last traded
      Up+$61.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?

    Right

    Tech

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      shiifooLast traded
      No+$226.90
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      Yes-$79.40
    • B
      johnashboughLast traded
      No+$82.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Aldosivi vs. Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FOKUS
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs Wendelken

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gaubas
    Won
    Gaubas
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Top End T20 Series: Northern Territory Strike vs Victoria

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Victoria
    Won
    Victoria
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$130.86
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Up-$79.99
    • B
      ivanovix91Last traded
      Down+$2.88

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$211.35
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$8.25
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Yes+$1.08

  • Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lynn Vision
    Won
    Lynn Vision
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Lynn Vision+$0.16
    • A
      GeorgeReLast traded
      Lynn Vision+$100
    • B
      dovetailLast traded
      Lynn Vision+$67.73

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Atlanta Braves
    Won
    Atlanta Braves
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$799.55
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Atlanta Braves+$544.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Atlanta Braves+$228.48

  • Will AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. K. Sint-Truidense VV end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Yes-$103.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$78.45
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Yes-$43.78

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Modern SC 2 - 0 Ghazl El Mahalla SC?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Guinea vs. South Sudan: O/U 159.5

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 0 Santos FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$62.98
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$58.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$47.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Taipei 2 (Taiwan), hard: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kuan Yi 1996 Lee

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Hikaru Shiraishi
    Won
    Hikaru Shiraishi
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ArbTraderRookieLast traded
      Hikaru Shiraishi+$211.58
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Kuan Yi 1996 Lee-$54.17
    • B
      PleaseNoCopyLast traded
      Hikaru Shiraishi+$18.27

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo (Spain), clay: Ivan Gakhov vs Yanaki Milev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ivan Gakhov
    Won
    Ivan Gakhov
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Lenny Couturier vs Leo Raquillet

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Leo Raquillet
    Won
    Lenny Couturier
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lenny Couturier+$417.75
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Leo Raquillet-$188.44
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Leo Raquillet-$231.42

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 27?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RC Celta de Vigo 2 - 2 CA Osasuna?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Vitality
    Won
    Inner Circle Esports
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Hradec Králové vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$164.88
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$12.48
    • B
      ShqkampLast traded
      Down+$3.18

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pecs (Hungary), clay: Filip Drab vs Preston Brown

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Filip Drab
    Won
    Filip Drab
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Jablonec vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over-$133.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$122.19
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$41.79

  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs QUAZAR - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    QUAZAR
    Won
    QUAZAR
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,677.05
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$1,222.97
    • B
      BALEBABOYLast traded
      Over+$2,772.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$124.54
    • B
      awei02Last traded
      Up-$7.82
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up+$5.59

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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