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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • AFC Ajax vs. FC Sion: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    AFC Ajax
    Won
    AFC Ajax
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      DiogoBNF566Last traded
      AFC Ajax+$69.23
    • A
      trampecLast traded
      AFC Ajax+$21.26
    • A
      johannsi19Last traded
      AFC Ajax+$6.23

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$51.73
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$0.93
    • B
      drincastLast traded
      Down+$129.45

  • El Paso Locomotive FC vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Tianjin 4 (China), hard: Han Shi vs Yingqun Sun

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Han Shi
    Won
    Han Shi
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$61.82
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$55.79
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$24.49

  • Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      koxmaLast traded
      Yes+$104.83
    • A
      mmaker1Last traded
      Yes+$97.01
    • A
      yeageristLast traded
      Yes+$0.60

  • HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. HNK Hajduk Split: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Completed Match: Liam Branger vs Axel Garcian

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$114.44
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$74.30
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$6.75

  • Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Ararat-Armenia FA
    Won
    Ararat-Armenia FA
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$40.44
    • A
      trampecLast traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$4.51
    • A
      Kuntro2Last traded
      Ararat-Armenia FA+$4.01

  • CF América vs. Columbus Crew: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Luton Town FC?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      03-Last traded
      Yes-$222.77
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$171.84
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      No+$20

  • Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 2 - 1 Qairat FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RSC Anderlecht 1 - 1 Qairat FK?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chelsea FC vs. Luton Town FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Under+$88.33
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$73.26
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$41.42

  • SC Freiburg vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 26?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Athletic Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$73.31
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$45.36
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$32.33

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$10.81
    • A
      PontiusPilateLast traded
      Yes-$72.42
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$41.54

  • RSC Anderlecht vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Red Bull Salzburg 2 - 0 Mjällby AIF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • New Mexico United vs. Lexington SC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$34.65
    • A
      Mr.MachinesLast traded
      Yes+$296.25
    • A
      Car-cLast traded
      Yes+$1.32

  • Ararat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: STATE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GenOne
    Won
    GenOne
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone win Greenville County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Lorenzo Carboni vs Nicolas Ulrich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lorenzo Carboni
    Won
    Lorenzo Carboni
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$36.07
    • A
      9527966Last traded
      Down+$2.79
    • B
      awei02Last traded
      Down+$9.30

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
    Won
    Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Oscar Jose Gutierrez-$235.62
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka+$63.64
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka+$82.59

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Mariia Tkacheva vs Andrea Lola Popovic

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Andrea Lola Popovic
    Won
    Mariia Tkacheva
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs RED Canids Academy - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    RED Canids Academy
    Won
    RED Canids Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CA River Plate 2 - 0 Independiente Santa Fe?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: mCon esports vs ZennIT - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    mCon esports
    Won
    mCon esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$1.67
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$19.36
    • B
      neverhackmeLast traded
      No+$13.32

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 26?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$2.49
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$250
    • A
      aHjCzLast traded
      Yes-$20.58

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Falcons
    Won
    Team Falcons
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Team Falcons+$11.05
    • S
      madoka123Last traded
      Team Falcons+$2
    • A
      jelenoosLast traded
      Team Falcons+$28.62

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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