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Resolution reportThursday, August 27, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
74%
1,476 right511 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,123
No consensus
13,136

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 6,527 provider closure; 8,596 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Aarhus GF
    Won
    Aarhus GF
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$200.89
    • B
      nezha9Last traded
      Down-$147.94
    • B
      BigFatPigXLast traded
      Down-$52.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$283.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$40.26
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$20.66

  • Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Tromsø IL: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Brighton & Hove Albion FC
    Won
    Brighton & Hove Albion FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LeLynxMalynxLast traded
      Brighton & Hove Albion FC+$5.12
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Brighton & Hove Albion FC+$3.71
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Brighton & Hove Albion FC+$0.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Leon Goretzka join Juventus?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fulham FC vs. AFC Wimbledon: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$242.64
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$188.07
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$49.63

  • Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Thun
    Won
    FC Thun
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      FC Thun+$309.49
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      KKS Lech Poznań-$136.92
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      FC Thun+$126.27

  • Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      shiifooLast traded
      Up+$147.95
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down+$89.28
    • A
      C03BLast traded
      Up+$62.65

  • Independiente Santa Fe leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Gharafa SC vs. Al-Shamal: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$38.56
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Over+$0.12
    • A
      woyaofada888Last traded
      Over+$5.65

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team 6seven vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team 6seven
    Won
    Team 6seven
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Team 6seven+$159.34
    • A
      BookWarriorLast traded
      Team 6seven+$54.29
    • A
      YaoXuLast traded
      Team 6seven+$7.36

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Mathieu Scaglia vs Jaume Casas Blasi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mathieu Scaglia
    Won
    Mathieu Scaglia
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jaume Casas Blasi+$444.33
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Mathieu Scaglia-$62.48
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Mathieu Scaglia+$14.04

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    9z
    Won
    MOUZ
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    HAVU
    Won
    HAVU
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SK Iberia 1999 vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 1 - 0 EC Vitória?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    devils.one
    Won
    devils.one
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      devils.one+$29.44
    • A
      ocssLast traded
      devils.one+$99.44
    • B
      zlz123456Last traded
      devils.one+$98.62

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Voca vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Voca
    Won
    Voca
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$297.79
    • B
      drincastLast traded
      Down-$94
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Up+$44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win Lexington County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PFK CSKA Sofia vs. OFI: Team to Advance

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    PFK CSKA Sofia
    Won
    OFI
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      oudine2Last traded
      PFK CSKA Sofia-$112.04
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      PFK CSKA Sofia-$1.76
    • A
      Kuntro2Last traded
      PFK CSKA Sofia-$76.53

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • América de Cali vs. CDP Junior FC: Draw at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • HNK Rijeka vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Yankees
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      New York Yankees+$105.07
    • S
      curieLast traded
      New York Yankees+$55.67
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Houston Astros-$55.37

  • CA Aldosivi vs. Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Monaco FC vs. Górnik Zabrze: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$121.66
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$108.03
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$1.43

  • Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Lugano
    Won
    FC Lugano
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Up+$0.06
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$282.18
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Up+$88.50

  • FK Partizan Beograd vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$143.35
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$81.59
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Over+$18.84

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,049 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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