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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Trump say "America First" this week?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Tian-WenLast traded
      Yes+$26.21
    • A
      HornyBibiLast traded
      Yes+$71.78
    • A
      2B9SLast traded
      No-$16.51

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Ofner (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Nishikori
    Won
    Nishikori
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Pecs Men: Filip Drab vs Dominik Guzmicky

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Filip Drab
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Filip Drab+$116.99
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Dominik Guzmicky-$63.53
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Filip Drab+$93.72

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 0 - 0 NEC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Tobol Kostanay vs. Kaisar Kyzylorda: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 25?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: LASK Linz 2 - 3 Celtic FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$100
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$27.04
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Over-$104.60

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Lions FC (-2.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Lions FC
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Lions FC+$207.90
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      North Sunshine Eagles FC-$193.01
    • B
      LuckyLooLast traded
      Lions FC+$103.05

  • Spread: Pakhtakor (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    PFK Dinamo Samarqand
    Won
    PFK Dinamo Samarqand
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      PFK Dinamo Samarqand+$28.26
    • A
      sslavagaLast traded
      Pakhtakor-$106.05
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      PFK Dinamo Samarqand+$0.09

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 25?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in August 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Seoul 2 - 1 Bucheon FC 1995?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Jeju SK FC 3 - 2 Pohang Steelers FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Outer Banks: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$62.14
    • B
      BakuskyvsLast traded
      No+$7.55
    • B
      Sylar012Last traded
      No+$0.95

  • Exact Score: Birmingham City FC 1 - 3 Brentford FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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