Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Team Synapse+$25.65
    • A
      PGLwinnerLast traded
      Inner Circle+$203.06
    • A
      0x0820-2Last traded
      Team Synapse+$4.35

  • Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Up+$102
    • S
      rwoLast traded
      Up+$67.83
    • A
      FatSlagLast traded
      Down-$112.25

  • Barnsley FC vs. Crewe Alexandra FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$696.58
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$539.24
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over+$323.30

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fleetwood Town FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$235.35
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Over+$72.24
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under-$1,191.11

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ReThink vs FaZe Up Next - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FaZe Up Next
    Won
    FaZe Up Next
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CSD Macara win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Seattle Mariners
    Won
    Seattle Mariners
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: eSuba vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    eSuba
    Won
    eSuba
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$74.16
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes-$224.43
    • B
      tweetstodayLast traded
      Yes-$62.50

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Sloane Stephens

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mananchaya Sawangkaew
    Won
    Mananchaya Sawangkaew
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Mananchaya Sawangkaew+$22
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Sloane Stephens-$220.97
    • A
      cryingbabydicer87Last traded
      Mananchaya Sawangkaew+$21

  • Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 3 - 0 NEC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Barueri Women: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Virginia Crocker

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Leticia Garcia Vidal
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Leticia Garcia Vidal+$135.49
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Virginia Crocker+$269.90
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Virginia Crocker-$103.01

  • Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Suresh

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Cerundolo
    Won
    Cerundolo
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$47.28
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$45.45
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Up+$37.54

  • Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Nassr Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Ettifaq Saudi Club+$465.32
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club-$371.22
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Al Nassr Saudi Club-$53.14

  • ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Ryuki Matsuda vs Chun-Chien Hou

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Chun-Chien Hou
    Won
    Ryuki Matsuda
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Lions FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Lions FC
    Won
    Lions FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lions FC vs. North Sunshine Eagles FC: O/U 2.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men: Jeremy Zhang vs Ofek Shimanov

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ofek Shimanov
    Won
    Ofek Shimanov
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Ofek Shimanov+$1,997.26
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Jeremy Zhang-$771.86
    • A
      zagzig123Last traded
      Jeremy Zhang-$2,084.27

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$213.38
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$46.48
    • S
      WagerWizardLast traded
      Over+$6.71

  • Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Meta (META) Up or Down on August 25?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs