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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?

    Wrong

    Finance

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Mar del Plata Men: Tobia Grandinetti vs Santiago De la Fuente

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Won
    Santiago De la Fuente
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tobia Grandinetti-$1,763.69
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Santiago De la Fuente+$1,378.64
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Tobia Grandinetti-$111.42

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Under-$1,658.04
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over+$1,438.79
    • S
      En111006Last traded
      Over+$140.62

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: QuantumX vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Alter Ego
    Won
    Alter Ego
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lodis
    Won
    Lodis
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No-$34.14
    • A
      0xb6fe…7394Last traded
      No+$33.90
    • A
      gt197Last traded
      No+$27.58

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Bucharest 3 Men: Alessandro Battiston vs Radu David Turcanu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Radu David Turcanu
    Won
    Radu David Turcanu
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alessandro Battiston-$49.99
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Radu David Turcanu+$27.57
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Alessandro Battiston-$104.53

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hiroshima Carp vs. Yokohama BayStars

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Hiroshima Carp
    Won
    Hiroshima Carp
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Hiroshima Carp+$116.56
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Hiroshima Carp+$91.35
    • S
      fatdog-012Last traded
      Hiroshima Carp+$30.38

  • XRP Up or Down - August 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$15.01
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$8.43
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$6.50

  • Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$223.26
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$154.89
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$19.41

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 24?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia target Kyiv on August 14, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$73.41
    • A
      Bromley86Last traded
      No+$0.92
    • A
      thoodrLast traded
      No+$0.20

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$22.35
    • S
      asdaefefLast traded
      Down+$7.99
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Down+$7.86

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Southampton FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    devils.one
    Won
    devils.one
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Minnesota Twins+$42.17
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Athletics-$25.79
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Minnesota Twins+$9.41

  • Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Sabah FK 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

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