Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 82% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 16,862
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJoanLuLast tradedNo+$2.19
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$1.32
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$7.48
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$265.49
- AFachini97Last tradedOver+$369.69
- AkitopesivanLast tradedUnder-$114.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Won
- Club Atlético de Madrid
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedVillarreal CF-$110.50
- SwapolLast tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$14.34
- Ajohannsi19Last tradedClub Atlético de Madrid+$106.66
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$2.31
- APure-EyelinerLast tradedNo-$14.03
- BOpulent-CommunicantLast tradedNo+$1.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BSpringlyFawlLast tradedNo-$6.48
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$6.10
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo+$2.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$14.57
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$3.83
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedNo+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 24?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$0.17
- BMysariaLast tradedNo-$6.05
- BSpringlyFawlLast tradedNo-$3.60
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sameisgoat11Last tradedUnder-$7.40
- AghorrockLast tradedUnder+$15.11
- Acryingbabydicer87Last tradedUnder+$1.66
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxc368Last tradedYes+$0.41
- BAnonymousPersonLast tradedYes+$6.37
- BFXCLast tradedYes+$2.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$207.84
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$198.77
- Aacount3Last tradedNo+$0.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Afxwd12345Last tradedUnder-$779.96
- A0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27ALast tradedOver+$0.67
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver+$770.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$117.13
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$2.48
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$110.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$2.06
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedNo+$11.68
- BlbtradingLast tradedYes-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$2.48
- BCaring-MemoryLast tradedUp+$15
- Bmasterblaster90Last tradedDown-$8.85
- Called
- Lille OSC
- Won
- Lille OSC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedLille OSC-$0.70
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedLille OSC+$3.40
- BMarlaSinger1999Last tradedLille OSC+$5.80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedYes-$48.54
- AJoanLuLast tradedNo+$6.99
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$33.13
- Called
- Bondar
- Won
- Bondar
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBondar+$29.62
- ADCAAALast tradedLiang-$38
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedBondar+$0.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aseptiariangel25Last tradedYes+$2.77
- A0x9e8e…d006Last tradedYes+$2.77
- A0x882f…0671Last tradedYes+$2.40
- Called
- Margaux Maquet
- Won
- Margaux Maquet
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedGeorgina Groth-$109.17
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedMargaux Maquet+$25.92
- AkitopesivanLast tradedMargaux Maquet+$75.95
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BminecraftpickaxeLast tradedUnder+$5.50
- Bzhukov26Last tradedUnder+$2.40
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$0.60
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedUnder-$237.25
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$4.80
- AromuluxLast tradedOver+$225.55
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$143.36
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$123.06
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$13.62
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$54.64
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedOver-$198.98
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$137.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$14.56
- B42021Last tradedYes-$8.70
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$17.83
- AseeyouanymoreLast tradedNo+$6.74
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$30.72
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aseptiariangel25Last tradedYes+$2.77
- A0x5139…d446Last tradedYes+$1.66
- A0x0716…522bLast tradedYes+$1.66
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$131.29
- AqrupLast tradedNo+$130.77
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedNo+$6.60
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$99.28
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$85.31
- BMarlaSinger1999Last tradedNo+$8
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedUnder+$0.69
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$0.55
- AMEK9Last tradedUnder+$4.44
Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.39
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$3.30
- BC6H6Last tradedNo+$1.97
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x4c3e…0cebLast tradedYes+$2.03
- A0x0716…522bLast tradedYes+$2.03
- A0x5139…d446Last tradedYes+$1.52
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xfd90…f40bLast tradedYes+$2.21
- A0x04c3…a2e9Last tradedYes+$1.66
- A0x9e8e…d006Last tradedYes+$1.66
Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.12
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$3.60
- BC6H6Last tradedNo+$1.59
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on August 24?
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BConstancefungLast tradedDown+$3.39
- B67676767676767676767676767Last tradedDown+$1.33
- BFXCLast tradedDown+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 23?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedYes+$0.79
- B42021Last tradedYes+$4.14
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.26
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9e8e…d006Last tradedYes+$2.77
- Aseptiariangel25Last tradedYes+$1.66
- A0x882f…0671Last tradedYes+$0.60
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Balpha-bondsLast tradedNo+$4.62
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$0.09
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedNo+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 24?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- A2B9SLast tradedYes-$30.29
- BAlexD87Last tradedNo+$28.20
- BnorthdrawerLast tradedNo+$6.57
Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.43
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$2.61
- BC6H6Last tradedNo+$1.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$208.23
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$7.81
- AqrupLast tradedNo+$196.43
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AJoanLuLast tradedNo+$1.99
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$1.50
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$0.38
Will Brandi Gabbard win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- A613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedYes+$1.80
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$4.69
- BnorthdrawerLast tradedNo-$0.76
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BBipBopLast tradedYes+$14.59
- BplanktonXDLast tradedNo-$11.11
- BbernardbulletinLast tradedYes+$0.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$41.82
- AfooooolLast tradedOver-$50
- BAmericaFirst1Last tradedUnder+$4.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$50.04
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$47.68
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$5.63
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 24?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BquietparcelLast tradedNo-$3.26
- BYiyouLast tradedNo+$0.14
- BMysariaLast tradedNo-$0.07
- Called
- Massimo Pizzigoni
- Won
- Massimo Pizzigoni
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BtemparalLast tradedMassimo Pizzigoni+$2.22
- Bnogame-nolifeLast tradedMassimo Pizzigoni+$0.66
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedMassimo Pizzigoni+$0.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$120.97
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$118.33
- ACactus-001Last tradedOver+$0.08
16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.