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Resolution reportMonday, August 24, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,282 right467 wrong

All wallets: 82% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
18,611
No consensus
16,862

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$52.89
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Under+$30.67
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$57.53

  • Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Atlanta United FC
    Won
    Sporting Kansas City
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Nomme United win on 2026-08-23?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LD Alajuelense vs. AD San Carlos end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sivasspor win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Inter San Carlos vs. Deportivo Saprissa: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Verl vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Getafe CF 2 - 0 Real Racing Club?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chacarita Juniors vs. San Martin de Tucuman: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      0x0dD9Last traded
      Over+$85.17
    • A
      sisioc-74Last traded
      Over+$4.39
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over+$31.15

  • LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    The Ruddy Sack
    Won
    The Ruddy Sack
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      The Ruddy Sack+$0.41
    • B
      FatEggLast traded
      The Ruddy Sack+$218.21
    • B
      oGsPaleLast traded
      Volda E-Sport-$99.54

  • ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Sara Cakarevic vs Brandy Walker

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sara Cakarevic
    Won
    Sara Cakarevic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Sara Cakarevic+$92.23
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sara Cakarevic+$17.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sara Cakarevic+$8.35

  • Will CD Marquense win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AA Ponte Preta 0 - 1 Avaí FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 21?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$19.63
    • B
      w...Last traded
      Yes-$157.50
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes+$22.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 24?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      No+$0.41
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      No+$0.33
    • B
      addputLast traded
      Yes+$109.81

  • Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      Over+$9.90
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under-$119.88
    • B
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Over+$0.05

  • Exact Score: CA Osasuna 1 - 0 Levante UD?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Maranhao AC MA vs. AO Itabaiana SE: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AS Roma 0 - 1 ACF Fiorentina?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA River Plate vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Vitória SC 1 - 1 CD Nacional?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$103.60
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$0.13
    • A
      Pan9XLast traded
      Over+$1.66

  • Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 1 Chelsea FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$160.33
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$58.64
    • A
      JoanLuLast traded
      No-$1.02

  • Exact Score: Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$86.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$81.68
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Under+$69.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Buxoro: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    São Paulo FC
    Won
    São Paulo FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      São Paulo FC+$53.57
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      São Paulo FC+$4
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      São Paulo FC+$36.16

  • CD Santa Clara leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 1 ACF Fiorentina?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    The Ruddy Sack
    Won
    The Ruddy Sack
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Oldenzaal Women: Sevil Yuldasheva vs Maria Toma

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maria Toma
    Won
    Maria Toma
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Maria Toma+$89.77
    • A
      0x6b25…7a69Last traded
      Sevil Yuldasheva-$114.35
    • B
      kiwi.beanLast traded
      Maria Toma+$116.86

  • ITF W50 Oldenzaal Women: Anastasiia Firman vs Romane Longueville

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Romane Longueville
    Won
    Anastasiia Firman
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Romane Longueville-$89.66
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Anastasiia Firman+$0.33
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Anastasiia Firman+$0.35

  • Will Bnei Sakhnin FC win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs Baena

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fearnley
    Won
    Fearnley
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will any other model be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?

    Right

    AI

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      viniiLast traded
      No+$100.83
    • B
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$22.67
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$5.98

  • Will DRX win more than 2.5 series during LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    O 2.5
    Won
    U 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      title1Last traded
      O 2.5-$132.52
    • B
      amameLast traded
      U 2.5+$212
    • B
      KukapolLast traded
      O 2.5-$163.42

16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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