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Resolution reportMonday, August 24, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,180 right654 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
18,611
No consensus
15,777

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    51%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$252.42
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$240.35
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$149.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$1,118.31
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$620.26
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$379.15

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$241.06
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$194.29
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$184.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$440.59
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$172.70
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$165.57

  • LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sentinels
    Won
    Sentinels
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FlyQuest
    Won
    FlyQuest
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lavked
    Won
    Lavked
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    RED Canids
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$306.96
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$194.10
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$172.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mattia Bellucci
    Won
    Mattia Bellucci
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Mattia Bellucci+$19,359.96
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Mattia Bellucci+$9,471.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Mattia Bellucci+$8,562.14

  • Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$5,103.10
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1,048.85
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$901.08

  • LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FlyQuest
    Won
    FlyQuest
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    KRÜ Esports
    Won
    Evil Geniuses
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      minjiLast traded
      KRÜ Esports-$3,411.36
    • S
      black-rabbitLast traded
      KRÜ Esports-$2,474.14
    • S
      xytestLast traded
      KRÜ Esports-$2,061.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BoneOhioLast traded
      Down+$132.83
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$93.35
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$78.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintseva

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maya Joint
    Won
    Maya Joint
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yulia Putintseva-$6,561.12
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Yulia Putintseva-$1,112.45
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Maya Joint+$1,091.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Sentinels
    Won
    Sentinels
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: BBL Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BBL Esports
    Won
    Fire Flux Esports
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FC Barcelona
    Won
    FC Barcelona
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Las Vegas Aces
    Won
    Las Vegas Aces
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

15,685 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 26,782 more positions across 2,330 markets on this day.

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