Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 82% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 16,862
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$840.89
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$548.86
- SSyrrokLast tradedOver+$4.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$281.18
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$51.33
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedNo+$7.04
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$315.82
- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$131.15
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$154.31
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BColossal-Bookcase-SaloonLast tradedNo+$252.27
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$35.35
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$28.40
- Called
- SC Paderborn 07
- Won
- SC Paderborn 07
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast traded1. FC Phönix Lübeck-$418.45
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSC Paderborn 07+$85.20
- BswisstonyLast tradedSC Paderborn 07+$4.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$437.26
- Anz7Last tradedYes-$308.18
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedNo+$10.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$319.20
- Bethan-kim22Last tradedDown+$6.58
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$1.32
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$110.16
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$87.92
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$0.59
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$234.26
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$56.81
- AfooooolLast tradedOver+$42.09
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$117.25
- AEhpairLast tradedNo+$30.50
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$186.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$315.18
- BShqkampLast tradedUp+$10.17
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$8.19
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOver+$272.59
- AMEK9Last tradedOver+$0.85
- BlbtradingLast tradedOver+$34.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUlamTriXLast tradedNo+$26.57
- Sdrop1234Last tradedNo+$6.63
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$236.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfoxchaserLast tradedOver+$119.55
- Asisioc-74Last tradedOver+$104.19
- AHugin-og-MuninLast tradedOver+$62.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$265.04
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$10.60
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedUnder-$32.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$287.74
- Bedward0208Last tradedUp+$1.47
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$0.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedNo+$6.23
- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$15.04
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$6.11
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$99.38
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$26.69
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$191.39
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$9.64
- AsntoloLast tradedOver+$102.12
- AromuluxLast tradedOver+$102.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$219.71
- Aptrck7Last tradedUp+$11.94
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$5.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$283.58
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$24.74
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$6.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$257.17
- BShqkampLast tradedUp+$6.38
- Bethan-kim22Last tradedUp+$5.96
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$120.56
- BdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$117.09
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$9.07
- Called
- Torino FC
- Won
- Torino FC
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedTorino FC+$224.38
- SSnakeBallLast tradedTorino FC+$7.04
- BswisstonyLast tradedTorino FC+$17.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedYes+$831.51
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo-$531.20
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$59.90
Will "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedYes+$0.25
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$133.74
- BnorthdrawerLast tradedNo+$121.41
Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC: Draw at halftime?
No consensus- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$131.46
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$100
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$236.99
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$252.27
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$150.54
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$128
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$300.78
- AfooooolLast tradedOver-$103.85
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$31.66
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$94.64
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$0.32
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$7.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$237.98
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$22.30
- BShqkampLast tradedUp+$7.14
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALimping-Baggie-TechniqueLast tradedYes-$14.27
- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$0.07
- BfghsrthrhrshrsthLast tradedYes-$120
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$350
- Aacount3Last tradedOver+$540.12
- BScary-Tracking-MustardLast tradedOver+$54.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$213.31
- Bethan-kim22Last tradedUp+$2.72
- BbolovoloLast tradedDown+$0.50
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$190.53
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$147.95
- AArpadexLast tradedNo-$76.03
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$142.41
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$56.08
- Acryingbabydicer87Last tradedUnder+$0.29
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver-$133.11
- Asisioc-74Last tradedOver-$92.67
- AfooooolLast tradedUnder+$11.81
- Called
- Seattle Mariners
- Won
- Chicago Cubs
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago Cubs+$1,604.64
- Storta.techLast tradedSeattle Mariners-$1,215.29
- Aarbfinder2026Last tradedSeattle Mariners-$121.53
- Called
- Charlotte Van Zonneveld
- Won
- Charlotte Van Zonneveld
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMadelief Hageman-$117.47
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedCharlotte Van Zonneveld+$78.75
- AkitopesivanLast tradedCharlotte Van Zonneveld+$39.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SsentrioLast tradedNo+$75.35
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$2
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$7.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$25.30
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$175
- BShqkampLast tradedDown+$5.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$115
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedYes+$27.32
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$26.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$169.90
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$17.57
- Bethan-kim22Last tradedUp+$6.46
- Called
- Piter/Tjen
- Won
- Piter/Tjen
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPiter/Tjen+$95.60
- SUser7429Last tradedJiang/Zhang-$61.31
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedPiter/Tjen+$33.97
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$10.78
- AfooooolLast tradedOver+$13.66
- Asamoel97Last tradedOver+$0.36
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$23.28
- Ajohannsi19Last tradedNo-$184.99
- ACactus-001Last tradedYes+$0.65
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$82.57
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$5.46
- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$59.08
16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.