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Resolution reportMonday, August 24, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
73%
1,282 right467 wrong

All wallets: 82% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
18,611
No consensus
16,862

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    CF Pachuca
    Won
    CF Pachuca
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$420.52
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$27.50
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Yes+$1.09
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      User7429Last traded
      Yes+$203.71
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Yes+$49.45
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Yes+$128.46
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$200.78
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$32
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      No+$40.32
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Luis Guto Miguel
    Won
    Luis Guto Miguel
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Luis Guto Miguel+$190.25
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      Luis Guto Miguel+$35.36
    • S
      BillBenter2026Last traded
      Luis Guto Miguel+$34.68
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$511.51
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$86.43
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$10.98
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$99.42
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      Yes+$20.59
    • B
      donthackmeLast traded
      No-$316.56
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.28
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$249.96
    • A
      ghorrockLast traded
      No+$1.78
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Chicago White Sox
    Won
    Chicago White Sox
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      New York Mets-$2,361.41
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago White Sox+$2,315.90
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Chicago White Sox+$25.95
  • Formula 1

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Paris Saint-Germain FC
    Won
    Paris Saint-Germain FC
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Paris Saint-Germain FC+$56.52
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Paris Saint-Germain FC+$37.81
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Paris Saint-Germain FC+$3.69
  • Tennis

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Nicolas Ulrich
    Won
    Nicolas Ulrich
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yannick Castelnuovo-$829.96
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Nicolas Ulrich+$87.81
    • A
      mando88Last traded
      Nicolas Ulrich+$1,079.16
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Rare Atom
    Won
    Rare Atom
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      fidelis1Last traded
      Rare Atom+$200.38
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Morningstar+$16.77
    • A
      madoka123Last traded
      Rare Atom+$11.94
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      No-$270.41
    • A
      LavinceyLast traded
      Yes-$2.70
    • B
      elrahLast traded
      Yes+$26.44
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Yes+$193.30
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      Yes+$42.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$13.04

16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.