Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 82% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 16,862
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$1,035.54
- SsentrioLast tradedOver+$99.59
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedOver+$13.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$599.77
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$215.43
- Bfacai168888Last tradedUp-$59
- Called
- CF Pachuca
- Won
- CF Pachuca
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedAtlético San Luis+$70.94
- SSnakeBallLast tradedCF Pachuca+$51.60
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedCF Pachuca-$20.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$237.20
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$462.30
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$6.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$420.52
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$27.50
- SRock.SanLast tradedYes+$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$612.12
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$376.02
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$370.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$200.78
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$32
- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$40.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$504.55
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$177.34
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$994.31
- Called
- Luis Guto Miguel
- Won
- Luis Guto Miguel
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLilybaeumLast tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$190.25
- SUlamTriXLast tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$35.36
- SBillBenter2026Last tradedLuis Guto Miguel+$34.68
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$511.51
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$86.43
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$10.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$124.56
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$41.97
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedYes-$62.40
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$99.42
- APPMTLast tradedYes+$20.59
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$316.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$350.05
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$346.05
- Bsuperman110Last tradedUp+$94.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$326.47
- Bsuperman110Last tradedUp+$94.80
- Bedward0208Last tradedUp+$73.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$99.89
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown+$378.12
- BGermany-007Last tradedUp+$11.33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$0.43
- AaapangLast tradedYes-$250
- BComfortable-SandwichLast tradedYes-$219.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown+$8.68
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$228.25
- Bspirit0Last tradedDown+$190.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNordhavenCapLast tradedNo+$235.56
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$137.04
- Sdrop1234Last tradedNo+$71.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 46%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$603.18
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$52.32
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$28.74
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$481.22
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$293.54
- SCannaeLast tradedUnder-$58.88
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNew York Mets-$2,361.41
- SRN1Last tradedChicago White Sox+$2,315.90
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$25.95
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedNo-$616.38
- SmishipolisLast tradedYes+$158.72
- AprobabilityLast tradedYes+$169.64
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$54.08
- AEdwardINLast tradedNo+$23.53
- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$5.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$244.60
- SsentrioLast tradedNo+$198.32
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$192.88
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$483.14
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$5.08
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$97.01
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$420.56
- BROBERTSIMON1987Last tradedUp+$81.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$6.56
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$4.33
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$410.66
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sblackewolf83Last tradedOver+$262.94
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver+$225.04
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$4.34
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$144.66
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$47.96
- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$0.20
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$144.66
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$46.26
- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$311.18
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$5
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$103.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$104.59
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$259.76
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$103.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$225.09
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$228.84
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$14.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$0.05
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$124.62
- A9527966Last tradedDown+$43.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 80%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$253.75
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$164.30
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown-$494.86
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$144.66
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$28.93
- AghorrockLast tradedNo+$8.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$98
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$16.79
- Bsuperman110Last tradedDown+$332.04
- Called
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedParis Saint-Germain FC+$56.52
- SSnakeBallLast tradedParis Saint-Germain FC+$37.81
- S38791873984189Last tradedParis Saint-Germain FC+$3.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AprobabilityLast tradedNo+$298.88
- AstevemasterLast tradedNo+$17.30
- AbrunomedmLast tradedNo-$5.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$314.85
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown+$1.98
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$313.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$355.13
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$35.54
- Ac4acapLast tradedDown+$2.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$45.39
- SCannaeLast tradedNo+$20.67
- AHumiliating-GrandfatherLast tradedYes-$206.47
- Called
- Nicolas Ulrich
- Won
- Nicolas Ulrich
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYannick Castelnuovo-$829.96
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNicolas Ulrich+$87.81
- Amando88Last tradedNicolas Ulrich+$1,079.16
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$152.46
- SWagerWizardLast tradedYes+$76.39
- SCorrupt-HornLast tradedYes+$8.28
- Called
- Rare Atom
- Won
- Rare Atom
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sfidelis1Last tradedRare Atom+$200.38
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedMorningstar+$16.77
- Amadoka123Last tradedRare Atom+$11.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$351.59
- Bedward0208Last tradedDown+$81.38
- BShqkampLast tradedDown+$5.57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 6
- Confidence
- 100%
16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.