Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 82% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 18,611
- No consensus
- 16,862
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 9,077 provider closure; 9,534 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$3,825
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$1,572.13
- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$698.40
- Called
- Adam Walton
- Won
- Adam Walton
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedAdam Walton+$2,488.19
- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedAdam Walton+$2,460.67
- SLilybaeumLast tradedJesper de Jong-$216.65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxcursed121Last tradedYes+$29.82
- ScurieLast tradedYes+$23.76
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$1.01
- Called
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedToronto Blue Jays-$1,203.52
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedToronto Blue Jays-$525.63
- SRN1Last tradedToronto Blue Jays-$344.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$971.48
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$416
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$317.52
- Called
- Linda Fruhvirtova
- Won
- Linda Fruhvirtova
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedLinda Fruhvirtova+$2,644.17
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLinda Fruhvirtova+$385.09
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedLinda Fruhvirtova+$77.79
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$210.22
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$139.17
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$89.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedUnder-$357.19
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedOver+$219.94
- Anascent1134513Last tradedUnder-$249.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$633.46
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$380.15
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$102
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$870.10
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$113.26
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$0.19
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver-$333.36
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$6.73
- Afxwd12345Last tradedUnder-$174.25
- Called
- Otto Virtanen
- Won
- Otto Virtanen
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SghostorderLast tradedOtto Virtanen+$417
- Alustra123Last tradedOtto Virtanen+$272.75
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOtto Virtanen+$121.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$678.74
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$528.52
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$113.69
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$202.50
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$132
- SGC-PLast tradedOver+$50.55
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$763.60
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$694.64
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$331.09
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)
No consensus- Won
- Milwaukee Brewers
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAtlanta Braves-$3,579.49
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMilwaukee Brewers+$2,896.66
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedAtlanta Braves-$495.40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxcursed121Last tradedNo-$94.54
- SedgewarehouseLast tradedNo+$11.36
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$10.58
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$430.62
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$316.02
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$35.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SJAMJAMJAM4Last tradedUnder+$83.11
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedUnder+$66.77
- Sameisgoat11Last tradedOver-$11.36
- Called
- Matteo Martineau
- Won
- Matteo Martineau
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBillBenter2026Last tradedBilly Blaydes-$247.02
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedMatteo Martineau+$217.28
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMatteo Martineau+$166.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$673.73
- AMaximus22Last tradedDown-$78.14
- BMBF888888Last tradedUp+$471.94
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$480.47
- ARohtLast tradedYes+$2.89
- ATouchDownThanaLast tradedYes+$1
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$298.68
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$132.35
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$15.35
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$1,077.37
- SWagerWizardLast tradedOver+$33.53
- Aacount3Last tradedUnder-$856.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$544.65
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$267.12
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$196.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMomo63Last tradedNo+$246.04
- SJest55Last tradedNo+$100.30
- SAgricultureSecretaryLast tradedNo+$37.76
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$18.65
- SCannaeLast tradedNo+$7.33
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$3.20
- Called
- Keegan Smith
- Won
- Alexis Galarneau
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedKeegan Smith-$4.98
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedKeegan Smith-$1,320.45
- ANotradecopyLast tradedKeegan Smith-$549.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$106.77
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo+$298.89
- APPMTLast tradedNo+$7.54
- Won
- summer bear
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AShameful-SundaeLast tradedsummer bear+$748.46
- AoliveBearLast tradedsummer bear+$223
- Aludka-minutkaLast tradedTeam Syntax-$204.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$290.95
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$181.71
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$92.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$76.56
- SCannaeLast tradedNo+$34.02
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$25.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$180.52
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$79.57
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$72.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$151.85
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$30.54
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$27.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedYes-$565.12
- ARentabarLast tradedYes-$443.16
- Akhamzat99Last tradedNo+$72.04
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$582.92
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$182.33
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$92.92
- Called
- QUAZAR
- Won
- Nemiga
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SForAndWithYouLast tradedQUAZAR-$75.20
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNemiga+$57.66
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedQUAZAR+$46.97
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedOver+$418.55
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder-$111.90
- SCorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$53
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$447.28
- SWagerWizardLast tradedYes+$96.42
- SBetyourselfLast tradedYes-$73.61
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$597.90
- SRN1Last tradedYes+$241.76
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$53.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxcursed121Last tradedNo-$70.60
- SedgewarehouseLast tradedYes-$11.64
- ScurieLast tradedYes-$2.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$14.48
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedUnder-$9.76
- Apoly0xd41Last tradedUnder+$62.28
- Called
- Black Phoenix
- Won
- HOTU
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sigot50kLast tradedBlack Phoenix-$184.02
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBlack Phoenix-$55.92
- SedgewarehouseLast tradedHOTU+$37.90
- Called
- Ethan Cook
- Won
- Ethan Cook
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- WRAITH PCIFIC
- Won
- WRAITH PCIFIC
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedBushido Wildcats+$109.96
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedWRAITH PCIFIC+$70.18
- SBillBenter2026Last tradedWRAITH PCIFIC-$61.21
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$57.99
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$47.10
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$44.34
- Called
- Aneta Laboutkova
- Won
- Aneta Laboutkova
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedXenia Bandurowska-$258.64
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAneta Laboutkova+$68.84
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedAneta Laboutkova+$23.62
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 183.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$703.48
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$601.33
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$107.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 47%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$174.25
- SLexingtonLast tradedYes-$149.06
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$30.75
16,790 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,919 more positions across 1,390 markets on this day.