Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,571
- No consensus
- 26,012
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AasakkuLast tradedNo+$1.45
- BNotQuetionsLast tradedNo+$2.42
- BsolomilloLast tradedNo+$0.25
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$95.94
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$82.38
- AfooooolLast tradedUnder+$9.44
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9e8e…d006Last tradedYes+$2.03
- A0x5bc2…3e11Last tradedYes+$1.52
- A0x5139…d446Last tradedYes+$0.51
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xfd90…f40bLast tradedYes+$2.77
- A0x882f…0671Last tradedYes+$0.60
- AGrandaBloordLast tradedYes+$0.55
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$3.69
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedUnder+$3.70
- BlbtradingLast tradedOver-$3.58
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmatmorfoLast tradedOver+$91.44
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$4.75
- AkitopesivanLast tradedUnder-$100
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0xc19b…b1f9Last tradedYes+$1.80
- AGrandaBloordLast tradedYes+$1.11
- A0x882f…0671Last tradedYes+$0.60
- Called
- Beijing Guoan FC
- Won
- Beijing Guoan FC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYunnan Yukun FC-$52.82
- S38791873984189Last tradedBeijing Guoan FC+$13.51
- BswisstonyLast tradedBeijing Guoan FC+$35.86
- Called
- SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
- Won
- SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDSC Arminia Bielefeld-$131.80
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedSG Sonnenhof Großaspach+$86.02
- BswisstonyLast tradedSG Sonnenhof Großaspach+$42.45
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$93.62
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$89.36
- BdaniilkenLast tradedNo+$0.96
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$125.22
- Aacount3Last tradedOver+$121.93
- AwesolyjasiuLast tradedOver+$0.06
Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmemetalLast tradedNo+$2.48
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$0.40
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedNo+$0.30
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$404.45
- Aacount3Last tradedOver-$259.63
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$147.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$4.58
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$3.30
- BlbtradingLast tradedYes-$4.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$101.59
- SLeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo+$6.60
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$105.12
- Called
- Millwall FC
- Won
- Millwall FC
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedMillwall FC+$12.29
- S38791873984189Last tradedMillwall FC+$6.80
- BswisstonyLast tradedNorwich City FC-$22.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$23.79
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$17.39
- Bpo4emutoLast tradedUp+$3.40
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x882f…0671Last tradedYes+$1.20
- A0x5139…d446Last tradedYes+$1.11
- A0x4c3e…0cebLast tradedYes+$0.60
Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$1.02
- BmemetalLast tradedNo+$1.68
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$0.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$117.25
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$120.42
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$0.34
- Called
- Nagoya Grampus
- Won
- Nagoya Grampus
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGamba Ōsaka-$70.71
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNagoya Grampus+$31.40
- BswisstonyLast tradedNagoya Grampus+$36.52
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- Seattle Mariners
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedChicago Cubs-$98.27
- A0x9b11…5375Last tradedSeattle Mariners+$207.87
- BswisstonyLast tradedChicago Cubs-$112.27
- Called
- Rakhimova
- Won
- Rakhimova
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Szxc368Last tradedRakhimova+$1.76
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedRakhimova+$0.55
- BsolomilloLast tradedRakhimova+$0.19
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AfooooolLast tradedUnder+$2.02
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$4.60
- BlucasolicorLast tradedUnder+$0.07
- Called
- TSV 1860 München
- Won
- TSV 1860 München
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedTSV 1860 München+$78.79
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedTSV 1860 München+$31.95
- BswisstonyLast tradedHolstein Kiel-$113.03
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SroscoffLast tradedYes+$118.16
- AGasplantLast tradedNo-$120.44
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedYes+$0.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$96.51
- SLegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedNo+$55.01
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$43.68
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$1.23
- APure-EyelinerLast tradedNo-$4.65
- BpazyamorLast tradedNo+$1.33
Will it rain in Washington, DC on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.94
- BC6H6Last tradedNo+$0.95
- BHarpoonSignalsLast tradedNo+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$0.52
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$1.11
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x138aD4FD2E68C3468FaB74a6O1AD166894952a04Last tradedNo+$1.11
- BC6H6Last tradedNo+$0.49
- BsolomilloLast tradedNo+$0.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$222.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$35.76
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$184.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfunfactsLast tradedOver+$27.25
- Apupupu12Last tradedOver+$42.30
- BNear-RubbishLast tradedUnder-$71.20
- Called
- New York Yankees
- Won
- New York Yankees
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedToronto Blue Jays-$104.50
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNew York Yankees+$99.06
- AAmericaFirst1Last tradedNew York Yankees+$6.59
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aking-cLast tradedOver+$0.53
- Aowlgorithm-betaLast tradedOver+$0.48
- BInterzoneCoLast tradedOver+$0.06
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$53.97
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$53.10
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$1.71
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$7.06
- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedUnder+$0.69
- BlbtradingLast tradedOver-$8.50
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Aiceblue-Last tradedUnder+$54.85
- BWretched-MatLast tradedOver-$55.62
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedUnder+$0.11
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$50.14
- AfooooolLast tradedNo+$49.50
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedNo+$0.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$85.23
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$131.23
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedYes+$46.44
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.88
- BneverhackmeLast tradedNo+$2.10
- BBeginnersLuck2Last tradedNo+$0.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDown+$0.55
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$2.07
- BKvazarrLast tradedDown+$1.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$96.10
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$7.10
- AHumiliating-GrandfatherLast tradedYes-$103.05
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
25,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 19,555 more positions across 1,975 markets on this day.