Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 87% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,571
- No consensus
- 26,012
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$143.85
- BmilliondreamLast tradedOver-$508
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedOver-$67.60
- Called
- Inner Circle Prospect
- Won
- Inner Circle Prospect
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedInner Circle Prospect+$109.37
- Smadoka123Last tradedInner Circle Prospect+$0.95
- ByagotovLast tradedInner Circle Prospect+$304.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$387.43
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$17.88
- BsemPernasLast tradedDown+$7.81
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$514.02
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$203.23
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$99.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$490.45
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$335.44
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$248.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$234.07
- BPossible-RecollectionLast tradedDown-$163.54
- ByongkaaaaLast tradedUp-$4.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNo+$20.56
- AJoeTheMeteorologistLast tradedNo+$358.36
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo+$22.35
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$27.13
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$366.95
- BlbtradingLast tradedYes+$55.20
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$104.43
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedOver+$194.17
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver+$83.52
- Called
- FC Emmen
- Won
- FC Emmen
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedFC Emmen+$341.89
- BswisstonyLast tradedJong AZ Alkmaar-$589.49
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedJong AZ Alkmaar-$131.94
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$185.71
- AwesolyjasiuLast tradedOver+$0.47
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$187.46
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$87.90
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$12.07
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$290.12
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$21.81
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$1.54
- Bsnailxiao222Last tradedYes+$341.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$231.50
- BrdimathLast tradedUp+$129.03
- Bivanovix91Last tradedUp+$4.15
- Called
- Cleveland Guardians
- Won
- Cleveland Guardians
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedCleveland Guardians+$310.53
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedCleveland Guardians+$115.47
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedColorado Rockies-$61.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$358.65
- APBot-10Last tradedNo+$5.22
- B67676767676767676767676767Last tradedNo+$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown-$46.76
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$303.02
- BndjjwobaqqLast tradedUp+$2
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMarquisDeMottLast tradedOver+$0.69
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder-$245.74
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedUnder-$99.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$343
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$14.85
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes-$14.40
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$271.48
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$341
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedNo+$271.26
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$82.50
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo-$256.06
- BxuejiaoLast tradedYes+$0.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$133.32
- ADCAAALast tradedOver-$222.76
- BiamnotwhoiwasLast tradedUnder+$21.69
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$276.17
- Bbtc12Last tradedDown+$54.01
- BndjjwobaqqLast tradedUp+$1.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BethyydszLast tradedUp+$465.80
- Bbtc12Last tradedDown-$154.99
- BROBERTSIMON1987Last tradedUp+$20.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver-$135.07
- AkitopesivanLast tradedOver-$194.17
- BC6H6Last tradedUnder+$0.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver+$188.77
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$51.31
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver+$86.24
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$58.28
- ScurieLast tradedNo-$28.59
- BAndreaPirloLast tradedNo-$238.87
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$812.39
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$552.87
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$64.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$0.40
- Aomnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$271.75
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$48.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$516.69
- A9527966Last tradedUp+$10.68
- BethyydszLast tradedDown-$846.99
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$266.05
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$1.01
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$584.45
- Called
- Shōnan Bellmāre
- Won
- Shōnan Bellmāre
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedShōnan Bellmāre+$414.94
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedTegevajaro Miyazaki-$124.95
- BswisstonyLast tradedShōnan Bellmāre+$25.04
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$158.15
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedOver-$61.93
- BswisstonyLast tradedUnder+$217.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$47.29
- Bbtc12Last tradedUp-$204.98
- Bfacai168888Last tradedUp-$59
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$23.65
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$287.79
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedNo+$45.49
- Called
- Virtus Entella
- Won
- Virtus Entella
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedVirtus Entella+$335.66
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedVirtus Entella+$26.39
- AfooooolLast tradedFC Südtirol-$59.75
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$622.81
- SyoungwhaleLast tradedYes-$334.05
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$12.85
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$18.90
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$3.43
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$323.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedDown+$42.27
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$249.11
- B0xuxuuxuuuuLast tradedUp+$3.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown+$99.06
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$308.93
- BPossible-RecollectionLast tradedUp-$85.37
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AScrawny-InevitableLast tradedUnder-$108.02
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedOver+$218.40
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver+$183.71
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$359.09
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$287.38
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$219.77
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedUnder-$716.08
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$160.80
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver+$264.32
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$209.51
- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedUnder+$7.19
- BswisstonyLast tradedOver-$78.74
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARadioFreeZergLast tradedUnder+$53.60
- Bjacques-chiracLast tradedOver-$253.16
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedOver-$81.10
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$95.69
- AseeyouanymoreLast tradedYes+$135.86
- BswisstonyLast tradedYes+$48.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
25,924 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 19,555 more positions across 1,975 markets on this day.