Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 88% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,571
- No consensus
- 24,688
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder-$223.54
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedUnder-$240.48
- Bmr-sarkozyLast tradedUnder-$416.51
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$256.05
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$215.62
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$141.35
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedUnder-$300
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$265.33
- Aacount3Last tradedOver+$310
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$16.54
- AHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$56.38
- AplainfolderLast tradedNo-$27.08
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedOver+$187.58
- Szxc368Last tradedOver+$0.23
- Aam100Last tradedUnder-$1,041.31
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$588.75
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver+$251.72
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$162.18
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedGeek Fam ID-$184.48
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedNatus Vincere+$91.68
- AlooppauLast tradedNatus Vincere+$1.02
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$365.67
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$105.10
- Szxc368Last tradedUnder+$0.26
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$797.17
- SNM-PLast tradedNo-$570.03
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$58.68
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDragontreeLast tradedYes-$882.35
- SQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$192.43
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$124
- Called
- Samuele Seghetti
- Won
- Samuele Seghetti
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSamuele Seghetti+$328.50
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSamuele Seghetti+$273.54
- S38791873984189Last tradedLorenzo Rottoli-$158.57
- Called
- San Diego Padres
- Won
- San Diego Padres
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedSan Diego Padres+$1,525.94
- SRN1Last tradedMinnesota Twins-$697.93
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSan Diego Padres+$45.60
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo-$380
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes+$331.70
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$189.10
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$128.99
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$26.03
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on August 21?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$358.65
- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$154.99
- STokorLast tradedNo+$15.36
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,034.50
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$99.18
- AVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedOver+$527.36
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$321.04
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$25.34
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$18.20
- Called
- Blu Baker
- Won
- Andrea de Marchi
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBlu Baker-$259.55
- S38791873984189Last tradedBlu Baker-$207.26
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBlu Baker-$72.57
- Called
- Cincinnati Reds
- Won
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCincinnati Reds-$241.33
- S38791873984189Last tradedCincinnati Reds-$145.04
- SRN1Last tradedCincinnati Reds-$95.55
Spread: JAX (-3.5)
Wrong- Called
- JAX
- Won
- CAR
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedJAX-$829.99
- SmishipolisLast tradedJAX-$91.87
- S38791873984189Last tradedCAR+$77.02
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$423.79
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$206.70
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes-$133.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$1,371.37
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$732.61
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$602.81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$544.20
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$333.64
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$194.49
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$306.95
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$160
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$81.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$208.70
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$197.14
- BswisstonyLast tradedNo+$154.07
- Called
- Leo Borg
- Won
- Leo Borg
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedLeo Borg+$65.19
- SRN1Last tradedJohn Hallquist Lithen+$0.51
- AclownlyLast tradedLeo Borg+$334.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$250.07
- SbloodmasterLast tradedUnder+$40.60
- AKingVon1Last tradedUnder+$573.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$298.64
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$133.65
- S38791873984189Last tradedNo+$52.28
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$403.52
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$180.40
- Aacount3Last tradedOver+$51.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$176.87
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$70.39
- AMyBettingFutureLast tradedYes+$2.54
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$534.04
- SSnakeBallLast tradedUnder+$504.98
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$171.07
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-08-21?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo-$645.22
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo-$262.52
- S38791873984189Last tradedYes+$250.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$180
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$91.44
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$88
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$401.30
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$213.98
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$202.55
- Called
- Black Phoenix
- Won
- Black Phoenix
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedBlack Phoenix+$124.68
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedBlack Phoenix+$0.01
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedBlack Phoenix+$67.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$1,929.16
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo-$1,514.97
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo-$826.60
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder+$283.27
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$115.84
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$114.87
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver-$224.88
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$151.19
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$79.53
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$835.15
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedOver-$233.84
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$9.10
- Called
- Kansas City Royals
- Won
- Kansas City Royals
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedDetroit Tigers-$864.74
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKansas City Royals+$215.90
- SRN1Last tradedKansas City Royals+$165
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 22?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdonothackmeeeLast tradedYes+$350.44
- BrakutonLast tradedYes+$102.93
- Brocky42014Last tradedNo-$57.07
- Called
- Ipswich Town FC
- Won
- Ipswich Town FC
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedIpswich Town FC+$219.04
- SSnakeBallLast tradedIpswich Town FC+$61.29
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedIpswich Town FC+$53.70
- Called
- Matteo Sciahbasi
- Won
- Matteo Sciahbasi
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMatteo Sciahbasi+$489.41
- S38791873984189Last tradedMatteo Sciahbasi+$145.54
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedDragos Nicolae Madaras-$298.85
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$211.83
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$90.65
- SmishipolisLast tradedYes-$36.80
BNB Up or Down - August 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spspspsps5Last tradedUp+$146.95
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$114.94
- S0x50f7Last tradedUp+$3.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$43.11
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$39.36
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$10.65
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$100
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$100
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$27.82
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ALSB1Last tradedOver+$262.07
- ABicycleThievessLast tradedOver+$55.20
- A0x0770Last tradedOver+$1.18
24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.