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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$309.36
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$195.23
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$110.38

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 1 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$703.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$499.86
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Over-$300.30

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 21?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$32.93
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes-$394.63
    • B
      gghffLast traded
      Yes-$100.60

  • Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 22?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his rally with Darline Graham?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$197.02
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$146.26
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Colorado Rockies-$114.96

  • Will Trump say "Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency" during his rally with Darline Graham?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Nantes win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Yes-$782.77
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$519.38
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$228.70

  • Will Clermont Foot 63 win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Under+$391.58
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Under+$116.23
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under+$80.94

  • Royal Charleroi SC vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Nuclear TigeRES
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$202.47
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$168.82
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over-$158.93

  • Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    WRAITH PCIFIC
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Hull City AFC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$148.53
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$128.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$115.77

  • Solana Up or Down - August 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$284.03
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$45.01
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$36.14

  • Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 2 - 1 Leeds United FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Sochaux-Montbéliard vs. En Avant Guingamp: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$670.20
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$206.77
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$94.64

  • Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Athletics
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Gay" in August?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      paddaaLast traded
      No-$60.62
    • S
      BertapotamousLast traded
      Yes+$6.85
    • S
      viniiLast traded
      No-$0.96

  • Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Südtirol vs. Virtus Entella end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2 - 3 Real Madrid CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$55.18
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$16.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$16.60

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Carrarese Calcio vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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