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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CS Independiente Rivadavia 0 - 1 Fluminense FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$85.86
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$82.45
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$21.79

  • ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Diogo Morais vs Izan Almazan Valiente

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Izan Almazan Valiente
    Won
    Izan Almazan Valiente
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Izan Almazan Valiente-$28.40
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Izan Almazan Valiente+$2.45
    • B
      CrovaxLast traded
      Izan Almazan Valiente+$41.90

  • Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    MOUZ NXT
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 102-103°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Karlo Kajin vs Matteo Fondriest

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Matteo Fondriest
    Won
    Karlo Kajin
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Matteo Fondriest+$6.91
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Karlo Kajin+$52.63
    • B
      HarryRitterLast traded
      Matteo Fondriest-$118.73

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$2.64
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$1.08
    • A
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Up-$2.80

  • ITF W35 Krakow Women: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Georgina Garcia Perez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oriana Gniewkowska
    Won
    Oriana Gniewkowska
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Georgina Garcia Perez-$761.60
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Oriana Gniewkowska+$544.65
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Oriana Gniewkowska+$49.63

  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No-$0.01
    • B
      ccccqLast traded
      No+$0.35
    • B
      SunnydaysLast traded
      No-$0.10

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over-$44.01
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$39.67
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Under+$2.82

  • Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      No-$2,928
    • S
      0xDB5Last traded
      No-$167.01
    • A
      ftrxc64afnLast traded
      No-$239.69

  • Cirstea vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will XRP reach $1.10 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Arad Men: Completed Match: Stefan-Cristian Enache vs Filippo Francesco Garbero

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,600.89
    • S
      qwe258Last traded
      Under+$2.77
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      Over-$161.21

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Ferrocarril Midland
    Won
    CA Ferrocarril Midland
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Ferrocarril Midland+$865.77
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      CA Ferrocarril Midland+$250
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      CA Ferrocarril Midland+$37.19

  • Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Vietnam vs. Malaysia: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MGS Panserraïkós vs. APS Panthrakikós end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • MGS Panserraïkós vs. APS Panthrakikós: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Fils
    Won
    Fils
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ernest Audino be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Celtic FC 3 - 0 LASK Linz?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$314.84
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$242.25
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$166.47

  • Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: LASK Linz O/U 0.5

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$167.58
    • A
      qrupLast traded
      Under-$511
    • B
      Xander-XXLast traded
      Over+$0.09

  • APS Zákynthos vs. AE Kifisiás: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • PS Kalamáta vs. Panaitolikós GFS: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • XRP Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Down-$669.44
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$35.49
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$30.49

  • Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    CA Boca Juniors
    Won
    CA Boca Juniors
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      CA Boca Juniors+$236.20
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      CA Boca Juniors+$106.73
    • B
      swisstonyLast traded
      CA Boca Juniors-$966.68

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 19?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$207.34
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$23.21
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$5.36

  • APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Mamelodi Sundowns vs. Marumo Gallants FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Weronika Falkowska vs Lisa Zaar

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Weronika Falkowska
    Won
    Lisa Zaar
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 18?

    No consensus

    Weather

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Cobolli

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jodar
    Won
    Jodar
    Profitable wallets
    4
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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