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Resolution reportWednesday, August 19, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
81%
2,283 right531 wrong

All wallets: 90% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
15,607
No consensus
12,793

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,977 provider closure; 7,630 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 12PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: CS Independiente Rivadavia 2 - 3 Fluminense FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$3.71
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$3.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$1.56

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or below on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$2.25
    • A
      smallreceiptLast traded
      No-$14.54
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No-$23.23

  • Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Miami Marlins
    Won
    Miami Marlins
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Miami Marlins+$2,518.37
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies-$2,059.93
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Philadelphia Phillies-$655.40

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.86
    • B
      daegothLast traded
      No+$3.68
    • B
      hotcoldLast traded
      No+$2.53

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Completed Match: Doroteja Petrovic vs Lejla Hana Golubovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Completed Match: Havah Kaur Kaler vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Completed Match: Darya Astakhova vs Lea Nilsson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$879.63
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Under-$194.73
    • A
      Fachini97Last traded
      Over-$82.10

  • Will Jeddah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-19?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$1.12
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$6.90
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$5.69

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 18?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$147.50
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      Yes+$160.86
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      Yes+$73.20

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 19?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 17-23?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-4.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$2,813.74
    • S
      shoemanhereLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$953.02
    • A
      pups10Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays+$496.84

  • Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 19?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Athletics (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Kansas City Royals
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Athletics-$2,101.46
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Athletics-$1,224.26
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Kansas City Royals+$1,156.52

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Colorado Rockies
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$1,971.16
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Colorado Rockies+$1,080.57
    • S
      shoemanhereLast traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$862.99

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will MGS Panserraïkós win on 2026-08-18?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Slovenj Gradec Men: Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Maximilian Figl
    Won
    Luca Castagnola
    Profitable wallets
    6
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Maximilian Figl-$1,113.82
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Luca Castagnola+$44.68
    • A
      noxmeLast traded
      Maximilian Figl-$45.39

12,714 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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